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USDJPY technicals: USDJPY remains within the moving average range

The USDJPY continues to trade with no clear directional bias, reflecting a choppy and indecisive market — a theme that has defined the entire trading week.

On the 4-hour chart, price action has been confined between two key technical levels:

  • On Monday, the pair opened just below the 100-bar moving average, tested it early in the session, and encountered sellers leaning against that level.

  • Later that day, the price dropped to test the 200-bar moving average (currently at 146.725), where it found buying interest and rebounded — a dynamic that has repeated multiple times this week.

  • Yesterday, the pair pushed higher but once again fell short of the 100-bar moving average (now at 147.944) and rotated back lower.

Earlier today, the pair retested the rising 200-bar MA for the second time this week and once again found buyers, pushing the price up toward 147.44 — roughly midway between the 200-bar support and 100-bar resistance.

Key Takeaway:

  • The market is clearly rangebound, with traders respecting the moving average extremes but unwilling to commit beyond them.

  • A break above 147.944 or below 146.725, supported by momentum, would likely serve as the next catalyst for directional bias.

  • Until such a break occurs, expect continued two-way flows and tactical trading within the range.

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