Weekly update on interest rate expectations

Rate cuts by year-end

  • Fed: 63 bps (99% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)
  • ECB: 44 bps (56% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting)
  • BoE: 54 bps (89% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)
  • BoC: 47 bps (51% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting)
  • RBA: 62 bps (89% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)
  • RBNZ: 60 bps (73% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting)
  • SNB: 26 bps (77% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting)

Rate hikes by year-end

  • BoJ: 29 bps (98% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)

This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at www.forexlive.com.

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Weekly update on interest rate expectations

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