Stock Ticker

US June ADP employment -33K vs +95K expected

  • Prior was +37K
  • Goods producing +32K vs -2K prior
  • Service providing -66K vs +36K prior

Wage measures:

  • Pay gains for job stayers +4.4% vs 4.5% prior
  • Pay growth for job changers +6.8% vs 7.0% prior

This is the worst reading since March 2023 when it was -102K.

  • Professional/business services -56K
  • Education/health -52K
  • Financial activities -14K
  • Manufacturing +15K
  • Leisure/hospitality +32K

This is a tough one ahead of non-farm payrolls tomorrow. There is also talk that the Homebase data is pointing to a soft one. The market is now fully priced for September with a 22% chance of a 50 bps cut.

This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.

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