Stock Ticker

KC Fed manufacturing index -10 vs -5 prior

  • Prior was -5
  • About half of firms (52%) reported their hiring plans for the remainder
    of 2025 have not changed since the beginning of the year, while 34%
    expect them to decrease and 14% expect to increase hiring plans
  • Prices paid +34 vs +42 prior
  • Prices received +17 vs +29 prior
  • Composite index -3 vs -4 prior
  • New orders for exports -21 vs -10 prior

This has bounced around but it’s above the -13 low in February. The pricing indexes improved from extreme levels in a sign that tariff angst has peaked.

Comments in the survey:

  • “Current business volume not sustainable long-term.”
  • “Some
    inventory we are reducing considerably due to significantly lower
    sales. Some inventory is quite a bit higher due to opportunity buys.”
  • “Our
    business is in the biggest supply shortage in history. Demand is
    excellent at the moment, not sure how long that lasts given the
    shortages our customers are experiencing.”
  • “Year started strong but seems to be tapering off for at least the near term.”
  • “Domestic conditions are better, but still much potential for volatility.”
  • “Lots
    of uncertainty about landed costs of raw materials and capital
    expenditures. We will adjust who we buy from and what we charge our
    customers based on current situation, not future speculation.”
  • “Trade
    policy continues to impact business. The constant uncertainty around
    overall policy is negative for consumers and for us.”
  • “We
    are insourcing equipment builds which will drive growth and allow for
    us to purchase capex manufacturing equipment and hire three more
    employees.”

This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.

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