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Japan Reuters Tankan – Manufacturing index +9 in August vs. +7 in July

Reuters Tankan for August 2025:

  • Manufacturing index +9 vs. +7 in July, marking a second month of improved sentiment
    • transport machinery sector, including autos, posted the strongest gains, climbing to +25 from +9, but is also forecast to retreat in coming months.
  • Non-manufacturing index +24 vs. +30 in July, the first fall for this in five months
    • food industry recorded the sharpest decline, plunging to -25 from zero, as managers cited rising ingredient and material costs
    • Real estate, construction, and retail sentiment also eased, with some retailers noting weaker store traffic and service firms reporting disruptions from extreme heat.

Three month ahead outlook:

  • Manufacturing index expected to drop back to +4 in November
  • Non-manufacturing expected to +25 in November

The poll, conducted July 30–August 8, surveyed 497 major non-financial firms, of which 241 responded.

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Reuters Tankan is a monthly survey that seeks to track the Bank of Japan’s tankan quarterly survey

  • respondents spoke on the condition of anonymity
  • Reuters Tankan indexes are calculated by subtracting the percentage of pessimistic respondents from optimistic ones. A positive reading means optimists outnumber pessimists.

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.

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