Swing Long Trade Idea for Tesla (TSLA) – Optimized with Partial Profit Targets
Trade Plan Overview:
This Tesla (TSLA) swing trade setup follows a layered buying approach to maximize the reward-to-risk ratio. The trade is structured to take advantage of key volume profile levels, ensuring that exits are based on historical liquidity zones rather than arbitrary price points.
📌 Risk-Reward Ratio: 4.57:1
📌 Partial profit-taking strategy available (see details below)
📌 Buy Orders & Position Sizing For This TSLA Long Idea
| Buy Order # | Price (USD) | Shares | Cost (USD) | % of Position Budget | Weighted Avg. Entry Price | Stop Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1️⃣ | $284.88 | 100 | $28,488 | 16.67% | $284.88 | No stop |
| 2️⃣ | $283.77 | 200 | $56,754 | 33.33% | $284.14 | No stop |
| 3️⃣ | $280.19 | 300 | $84,057 | 50.00% | $282.17 | $277.23 |
💡 Total Shares (Full Position): 600 (example, you can modify this as you wish, just note the buys above are 1x, 2x, and last 3x)
💡 Total Cost (Full Position): $169,299
💡 Weighted Average Entry Price: $282.17
🎯 Stop Loss & Take Profit Strategy
| Target / Stop Level | Price (USD) | Profit/Loss per Share | Total P/L (Full Position) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 📉 Stop Loss (1.75% downside) | $277.23 | -$4.94 | -$2,962.73 |
| 📈 Take Profit (8.00% upside) | $304.74 | $22.57 | $13,543.92 |
- Stop Loss Activation: Only applies if the full position is built.
- Take Profit Plan: Full position exit (or leave a runner, as exemplified below) at $304.74 for 8% gain, or partial profit-taking at key levels (see next section).
📊 Partial Profit-Taking Strategy for Traders Who Prefer Scaling Out
If you believe in gradual profit-taking, here are suggested levels based on volume profile analysis (not random prices):
| Profit Target | Price (USD) | % of Position Sold | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Partial | $287.80 | 10% | Light profit-taking |
| 2nd Partial | $291.85 | 10% | Another 10% off |
| 3rd Partial | $296.47 | 30% | Significant trim & move stop to entry |
| 4th Partial | $301.94 | 10% | Just below the VWAP of Feb 26 |
| Final TP in case no runner |
$304.74 | 20% | Core exit |
| If Runner Then Hold | At discretion | 20% | Leave for long-term upside |
💡 Key Takeaways from this Strategy:
✔ Gradual profit-taking helps secure gains while keeping exposure to upside.
✔ Volume profile analysis confirms liquidity zones where price reactions are likely.
✔ Stop-loss moved to break-even ($282.17) after selling 50% at $296.47.
📊 Trade Rationale & Technical Outlook
-
Strong Support Zone at $280-$283:
- Buyers historically stepped in at these levels. There is no promise that they will again but this area is on interest.
- Aligns with historic volume profile potential support zones.
-
Bullish Order Flow & Momentum:
- Stay tuned as there may be future updates in the comments below, as future orderflow data appears (reminder: the plan has not yet filled the buy orders and price of TSLA stock still needs to decline in order to fill some/all of the 3 orders).
📢 TSLA Stock Trade Execution Strategy
✔ Possible to adjust trailing stop if price exceeds $300-$305 to protect profits, especially if you are leaving a ‘runner’ after reaching the target
⚠️ Disclaimer
🚨 This is NOT financial advice. Trade Tesla stock at your own risk. 🚨
This layered buy & partial profit-taking strategy is designed for swing traders and long term investors who prefer risk management and maximizing potential upside. Always adjust position sizes and risk levels according to your own strategy and capital allocation.
