OrderFlow Intel Analysis: AMZN Stock Setup
Prediction Score: +6 (Bullish Bias, Moderate Confidence)
Amazon (AMZN) is currently trading at $195.00, near yesterday’s Value Area High (VAH) of 195.25, a key resistance level where price must either break out or retrace for a better long entry.
The orderFlow Intel data suggests that buyers have been stepping in aggressively, particularly near 193.89 (yesterday’s POC) and 194.35 (yesterday’s VWAP). However, the price recently encountered strong selling pressure, likely from profit-taking or a liquidity sweep, before rebounding. The ability of buyers to sustain the move above 195.25 will determine the short-term direction.
Is Amazon a Buy? Unboxing this Long idea.
Trade Plan Summary for AMZN Stock
| Long Buy Order # | Price (USD) | Shares to Buy | Cost (USD) | % of Position Budget | Avg. Weighted Entry Price | Stop Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 194.39 | 100 | $19,439 | 33.33% | $194.39 | No stop |
| 2 | 192.27 | 100 | $19,227 | 33.33% | $193.33 | No stop |
| 3 | 188.52 | 100 | $18,852 | 33.33% | $191.73 | $187.89 |
| Weighted Avg. Entry Price | $191.73 | Full Position Size: 300 Shares | Total Cost: $57,518 | Trade at Your Own Risk | – | – |
Profit/Loss Expectations for Full Position for Amazon Stock
| Scenario | Price Target (USD) | Profit/Loss per Share (USD) | Total P/L for Full Position (USD) | Risk-Reward Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stop Loss (2% Downside) | $187.89 | -3.83 | -1,150.36 | 1.0 |
| First Profit Target (6% Upside) | $203.23 | +11.50 | +3,451.08 | 3.0 |
| 50% Left as ‘Runner’ | Long-term hold | – | – | – |
🚨 Not financial advice. Invest/trade at your own risk.
OrderFlow Intel Analysis: AMZN Stock Setup
Prediction Score: +6 (Bullish Bias, Moderate Confidence)
The orderFlow Intel data suggests that buyers have been stepping in aggressively, particularly near 193.89 (yesterday’s POC) and 194.35 (yesterday’s VWAP).
Key OrderFlow Intel Insights
✅ Buyers Regaining Control Despite Prior Selling Pressure
- The most recent delta readings indicate renewed buyer strength, with positive buy-side activity emerging after a period of heavy sell volume absorption.
- The structure suggests buyers are accumulating positions rather than liquidating, reinforcing a bullish bias with moderate confidence.
✅ Support & Pullback Zones for Ideal Buys
- First buy order is placed just above VWAP at 194.39, ensuring early participation in case price stabilizes.
- Second buy order is placed above yesterday’s Value Area Low (VAL) at 192.27, aligning with a key liquidity zone where buyers are likely to defend.
- Third buy order is deeper, at 188.52, in line with October 31st’s VAH, serving as a “security” order in case of a deeper pullback. This order may not be filled, but it ensures a strong risk-adjusted position if price dips further.
✅ Profit Targets & Risk Management
- The approach mitigates risk by identifying key support zones and securing a reasonable profit-taking level at 203.23.
- If the first profit target is reached, investors may consider moving their stop to break-even to protect capital.
- The remaining 50% of the position runs for the long-term, capturing further upside momentum.
Investment Rationale for AMZN Stock: Why This Setup?
- Rooted in professional orderflow analysis, volume profile, VWAP and institional grade key price level drill-down.
- Risk-Adjusted Approach: Instead of chasing price, we allow a structured pullback entry at key levels. Even if not all buy orders may be filled.
- Smart Scaling: A layered buy strategy (1X → 2X → 3X) ensures a strong weighted average price at lower prices, to give ourselves some space if the market stop hunts lower.
- Long-Term Growth Potential: The runner portion (50% of the position) remains for sustained upside over months or years.
This buyTheDip strategy provides a structured way to enter AMZN stock while managing risk and positioning for long-term gains.
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