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Fed’s favored inflation gauge showed price pressures stayed elevated in December

The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge remained elevated in December as price pressures continued to pose a challenge for consumers.

The Commerce Department on Friday reported that the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) index rose 0.4% in December on a monthly basis and is up 2.9% from a year ago. Those figures were both slightly hotter than the estimate of LSEG economists, who predicted 0.3% and 2.8%, respectively.

Core PCE, which excludes volatile measurements of food and energy prices, was up 0.4% on a monthly basis and rose 3% year over year. Both figures were hotter than the expectations of economists polled by LSEG, who estimated the gauges would rise 0.3% and 2.9%, respectively.

Federal Reserve policymakers are focusing on the PCE headline figure as they try to bring inflation back to their long-run target of 2%, though they view core data as a better indicator of inflation.

Headline PCE has trended up to 2.9% after readings of 2.8% in November and 2.7% in October. Core PCE readings were 2.8% or 2.9% dating back to May before it reached 3% in December.

Prices for goods were up 1.7% in December on an annual basis, up from 1.5% in November. Goods price growth was even lower last summer, when the index posted annual gains of 0.6% in June and July and a 0.9% gain in August.

Durable goods prices jumped 2.1% year over year in December after readings were close to 1% dating back to June. Nondurable goods rose 1.6% on an annual basis in December, slightly lower than the 1.7% reading in November.

This is a developing story about the December PCE inflation report. Please check back for updates.

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