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Fed Paulson: Favors gradual path of rate cuts over this year into next

Chicago Fed Pres. Anna Paulson is speaking for the 1st time as Fed Pres. on policy/the economy. She says:

  • Favors gradual path of rate cuts over this year into next

  • Rising risks to job market should be main focus of monetary policy

  • Job market currently near full employment but trend going wrong way

  • Gradual rate cuts should keep job market ‘close’ to full employment

  • Unclear what neutral rate is, argues for caution in rate cut pace

  • September Fed rate cut size ‘made sense’

  • Expects tariffs to push up inflation but won’t cause persistent increase

  • Economy currently doing well amid elevated inflation pressures

  • Tariff inflation impact smaller than expected so far

  • Long-run inflation expectations ‘remarkably stable’

  • 2026 should see near potential growth, eventually inflation cooling.

In sum, Paulson’s comments convey a measured and risk-aware dovish stance — one favoring gradual rate cuts extending through this year and into next, as the Fed seeks to maintain economic momentum and avoid a sharper slowdown amid cooling inflation pressures.

This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

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