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Canada Manufacturing Sales for March 3.0% vs 3.5% estimate

  • Prior month 3.6% revised lower to 3.4%

Details for March:

  • Canadian manufacturing sales rose 3.0% in March to $73.6 billion, the highest level since January 2025. The expectation was for a gain of 3.5%.
  • Sales increased in 9 of 21 subsectors, led by:

    • Petroleum and coal products: +22.7%
    • Transportation equipment: +6.0%
  • Excluding petroleum and coal products, manufacturing sales still rose 0.7% in March.
  • Year-over-year manufacturing sales increased 3.5%.
  • In real terms, manufacturing sales rose 1.0%, while the Industrial Product Price Index increased 2.4%.
  • First-quarter 2026 manufacturing sales edged up 0.1% to $214.1 billion, marking the third straight quarterly increase.
  • Top contributors to the quarterly gain:

    • Petroleum and coal products: +4.9%
    • Primary metals: +4.3%
  • Transportation equipment sales fell 6.5% in Q1, the largest quarterly decline among subsectors.

How did specific industries do?

  • Petroleum and coal product sales surged 22.7% in March to $9.4 billion, the highest since September 2023.
  • The increase was largely price-driven, as real sales fell 3.5%.
  • Energy and petroleum prices jumped 27.4% amid Middle East geopolitical tensions and disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz.
  • Quarterly petroleum product sales rose 4.9% in Q1 2026, the third straight quarterly increase.
  • Exports of refined petroleum products increased 14.4% in March.
  • Transportation equipment sales rose 6.0% to $11.4 billion in March after a 19.8% gain in February.
  • Motor vehicle sales jumped 15.0%, leading the increase within the sector.
  • Auto production increased following factory retooling completion and the addition of a new production shift at another assembly plant.
  • Motor vehicle and parts exports rose 5.4% in March.
  • Despite the monthly gain, motor vehicle sales fell 13.6% in Q1 2026.
  • Aerospace production rose 5.2% in March to a record $3.0 billion.
  • Growth was supported by strong global demand for commercial aircraft, business jets, aircraft parts, and maintenance services.
  • Q1 aerospace production increased 1.4% to $8.7 billion.
  • Aircraft and aircraft parts exports rose 1.2% in March.

This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

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