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AUDUSD Technical Outlook:Momentum stalls at 100-hour MA as downside levels come into focus

AUDUSD technicals

The AUDUSD rebound found resistance at the 100-hour moving average, which once again proved to be a reliable technical barrier for buyers. After the rejection, price action has turned lower, with the pair now trading below a critical confluence of moving averages.

Specifically, the pair is holding below the 100-bar MA on the 4-hour chart and the 200-hour MA, both clustered around 0.64467 area. Staying below this zone keeps sellers in control, shifting focus to the next downside targets.

Key support levels include:

  • 0.6429: Low of swing area

  • 0.6423: Upward trendline support

  • 0.6407: 200-bar MA on the 4-hour chart.The price of the AUDUSD has not traded below that MA since April 22

A move below these levels would open the door for further bearish momentum. On the upside, reclaiming the 0.6446–0.6447 zone and the 200-day MA and the 100 hour MAs at 0.6451 and 0.6460 respectively, would be needed to neutralize near-term selling pressure.

Key Technical Levels:

  • Resistance: 0.64467 (100-bar MA on 4H & 200-hour MA)

  • Support: 0.6429 (swing low), 0.6423 (trendline), 0.6407 (200-bar MA on 4H)

The bias remains tilted to the downside while price stays below the moving average cluster.

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