The Atlanta Fed GDPNow growth estimate for Q3 remain unchanged after today’s US housing starts and building permits data.
In their own words:
The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2025 is 3.3 percent on September 17, down from 3.4 percent on September 16. After this morning’s housing starts release from the US Census Bureau, the nowcast of third-quarter real residential investment growth decreased from -4.6 percent to -6.3 percent.
The next GDPNow update is Friday, September 26. Please see the “Release Dates” tab below for a list of upcoming releases.
