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ICYMI – Société Générale warns of bubble risk if S&P 500 gets above 7500!

There are a few reports on Société Générale’s view doing the rounds.

2026 index could reach 6,900 by year-end

  • a potential range of 6,500-7,250 if re-rating occurs in a rate-cutting environment
  • say rate cuts from the Federal Reserve could push the index above 7500 in 2026 and into bubble territory

SG cite positive impacts from:

  • lower oil prices
  • “The One Big Beautiful Bill”
  • less stringent regulations
  • fiscal spending globally
  • duplication of supply chains
  • nominal EPS should continue to grow higher

SG expect the USD to continue weakening, sending EUR/USD to 1.2:

  • “weakening in the USD looks set to continue until Fed rates are in the 3-handle and/or the yield curve (2s10s) is closer to 100bp.”

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