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RBA raises cash rate to 4.35% in May monetary policy meeting, as expected

  • Prior 4.10%
  • Middle East conflict has resulted in sharply higher fuel and commodity prices, which are already adding to inflation
  • There are early signs that many firms are looking to increase prices of their goods and services
  • There are materially heightened uncertainties about the outlook for domestic economic activity and inflation
  • There are plausible scenarios where inflation is higher and activity lower than envisaged under the baseline forecast
  • There are indications that Middle East conflict could lead to second-round effects on prices for goods and services more broadly
  • Inflation is likely to remain above target for some time and that the risks remain tilted to the upside
  • Having raised the cash rate three times, monetary policy is well placed to respond to developments
  • Focused on mandate to deliver price stability and full employment
  • Will do what it considers necessary to achieve that outcome
  • Cash rate vote was 8-1
  • Full statement

Coming into the meeting, traders were pricing in ~85% odds of a 25 bps rate hike with ~61 bps of rate hikes priced by year-end. More to come..

This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com.

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