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Again within the Nineteen Eighties, Andrea Orcel’s college thesis was about hostile takeovers. Nearly 4 a long time later, the bold UniCredit chief finds himself on the coronary heart of the largest European banking drama in years — taking up the German authorities in what may very well be the primary large cross-border banking deal in Europe for the reason that monetary disaster.
This week the Milanese lender raised its stake in rival Commerzbank to 21 per cent, pending approval from the European Central Financial institution. This could make UniCredit the biggest shareholder, overtaking the German authorities. German Chancellor Olaf Scholz has known as the stake-building “unfriendly” and “hostile” however Orcel has stated he had no plan to have interaction in a fist battle with Berlin.
“Andrea isn’t naive, he’s a tactician and I feel he’s nicely conscious of what he’s doing . . . he is aware of precisely how he plans to achieve his finish aim . . . we could not know precisely, however he does,” says Alessandro Profumo, the previous CEO of UniCredit.
Berlin’s refusal to barter has reportedly pissed off Orcel, who doesn’t often take no for a solution. Rising earlier than daybreak for his day by day sports activities session, he has been working nonstop with bankers at Barclays and Financial institution of America to discover a means by way of.
His devotion to the job, coupled together with his capability to advise CEOs on close to inconceivable offers, have constructed Orcel, 61, a popularity as each sensible and ruthless. “Andrea is pragmatic and articulate . . . as a result of he’s very demanding, folks can really feel he’s too demanding . . . however what he asks from others he asks from himself,” says Andrew Gazitua, the previous chief working officer of funding banking at Merrill Lynch, the place Orcel minimize his tooth. He will also be all the way down to earth — he goes by his first title in a rustic the place many CEOs demand extra formality.
Raised in Rome the place his mom labored for the UN and his Sicilian father ran a small leasing firm, Orcel went to the celebrated Lycée Français Chateaubriand, residence to the kids of noblemen and diplomats. Whereas on vacation from Rome’s La Sapienza college, he determined he wished to turn into a banker as an alternative.
After stints at Goldman Sachs and Boston Consulting Group, Orcel joined Merrill Lynch in 1992, the place — after a 20-year streak of profitable M&A offers together with the €21bn merger of Italy’s Credito Italiano with UniCredito to create UniCredit — he was dubbed “the Cristiano Ronaldo of bankers”.
“He was extraordinarily educated and at all times out there, plus he constructed a community of non-public relations that facilitated entry to the choice makers,” says Profumo who helmed Credito Italiano on the time.
Alongside the best way, Orcel, who was president of UBS from 2014 to 2018, struck up friendships with the likes of late Santander chair Emilio Botín — whom he suggested on acquisitions that reworked the lender into a world banking group. However he additionally racked up enemies.
His relationship with the Botíns soured in 2018 when Santander withdrew its supply to make him CEO over pay. When Orcel launched a multimillion-euro lawsuit, the world of excessive finance thought he was loopy. However the courts in the end awarded him €43.5mn. “He simply does what he thinks is true even when it makes him appear like an arse however he’ll at all times be accountable for his actions . . . I hate to say it however more often than not he’s proper,” says a senior banker in London.
One time he could have been fallacious was when he suggested on the disastrous acquisition of ABN Amro by RBS in 2007. He as soon as advised the FT that “with the advantage of hindsight we must always have finished issues in a different way. I can’t assist however really feel duty for my function.”
His transformation of UniCredit, with the share value climbing virtually 400 per cent since he joined in 2021, is his most essential one but. Securing the Commerzbank deal would earn him an enduring place in Europe’s monetary firmament. But, German finance minister Christian Lindner advised lawmakers this week that “by way of their fashion and their communication, UniCredit’s actions didn’t contribute to strengthening the belief of the federal government”.
It’s not the primary time Orcel, who has little time for diplomacy, has locked horns with public establishments. In 2021, Mario Draghi’s authorities in Italy had hoped to promote Monte dei Paschi di Siena to UniCredit. The events did not clinch a deal and Orcel walked away. Since Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022, Orcel has additionally been at odds with the ECB on the right way to cope with UniCredit’s ongoing Russian presence. “Andrea is not any politician, he’s a no bullshit man,” says Davide Serra, founding father of asset administration agency Algebris, pal and longtime UniCredit investor. “Ethical suasion doesn’t work with him . . . which is why those that don’t like him say he has a nasty character.”
Commerzbank could be well worth the newest battle. Orcel’s most well-liked possibility, say insiders, can be to merge it with UniCredit’s current German subsidiary HVB. On the proper value, it might be laborious for the Germans to refuse. This time, the Italian authorities additionally has his again.
Orcel could also be divisive — “he’s a bit like Marmite: both you hate him otherwise you love him,” says Amir Hoveyda, who labored with him at Merrill Lynch and UBS. However he has as soon as once more managed to go away his counterparty’s weaknesses uncovered. A grasp of sport concept, his newest transfer will drive a reckoning amongst regulators which have pushed for better EU banking integration for years. As for these rivals who’ve lengthy puzzled if an Italian financial institution — even an enlarged one — will in the end be sufficient for such a very bold government, they could not cease wanting over their shoulders simply but.
