Greatest NFL soccer knockout, survivor pool picks, technique, recommendation for Week 4, 2024: Fade this heavy favourite

If one group having a 21-6 document versus one other means one thing to you, then the Houston Texans stick out like a sore thumb for Week 4 NFL survivor pool picks. That is their document in opposition to the Jaguars over their final 27 conferences, and the 2 will conflict on Sunday in Houston. Nonetheless, the Jaguars aren’t keen to make your Week 4 NFL knockout pool picks that easy and simple even after their meltdown on Monday. They’ve really crushed the Texans the final two instances the groups have met in Houston.

The Texans have been humbled, 34-7, final Sunday by Minnesota, which can not assist your confidence in backing Houston in Week 4 NFL eliminator pool picks. It was the group’s largest loss because the 2022 season as C.J. Stroud had his second profession sport with a number of interceptions. Earlier than finalizing any Week 4 NFL survivor picks, see which team the red-hot SportsLine Projection Model just went all-in on.

The mannequin, which simulates each NFL sport 10,000 instances, is up nicely over $7,000 for $100 gamers on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The mannequin enters Week 4 of the 2024 NFL season on an unbelievable 187-130 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates again to the 2017 season. Additionally it is on a 41-22 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022. 

The mannequin additionally ranked within the high 10 on NFLPickWatch 4 of the previous six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat greater than 94 % of CBS Sports activities Soccer Choose’em gamers 4 instances throughout that span. Anybody who has adopted it’s method up.

The mannequin can be utilized to crush the Survivor Pool format, which calls for choosing one group to win every week however by no means utilizing the identical group twice. In Week 1, the mannequin advisable the Saints as its high survivor decide. New Orleans gained in 79% of SportsLine’s simulations, and the Saints dominated Carolina, 47-10, in what was probably the most lopsided sport of the opening week. Then in Week 2, the mannequin advisable the Chargers, who have been additionally picked to win in 79% of simulations, and L.A. additionally manhandled the Panthers, 26-3. In Week 3, the mannequin backed Seattle to win 74% of the time, and the Seahawks simply dispatched of Miami, 24-3.

Now, it has turned its consideration to the most recent Week 4 NFL odds and locked in its Week 4 survivor pool decide. You can only see who the model is backing this week at SportsLine.

Prime Week 4 NFL survivor pool predictions 

In Week 4 of the 2024 NFL season, the mannequin is shying away from the 49ers (-10, 39.5) versus New England, though the Niners are the primary double-digit favourite of the season. San Francisco is almost unbeatable when wholesome and entire as it’s 14-1 when Brock Purdy, Christian McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk, George Kittle and Trent Williams play a whole sport. Nonetheless, the group is simply 8-8 in all different video games, together with 1-2 this season. Plus, it is not just like the Niners are lacking simply a kind of gamers as McCaffrey is on IR, Samuel is slated to overlook a number of weeks, Kittle was inactive in Week 3, and Williams briefly exited Sunday’s loss with a calf cramp.

Add all of that up, and the Niners gave up a 14-point result in a Rams group lacking Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua. Whereas San Fran has injured offensive stars, it is atypically struggling on the opposite facet of the ball as nicely, rating within the backside 10 in factors allowed. The Patriots have the No. 9 scoring protection and now have high 10-rankings in each dashing offense and defending the run. With New England additionally coming off prolonged relaxation, the Niners are simply too dangerous to make the most of in Week 4 NFL survivor picks. See which team to pick instead here.

Tips on how to make Week 4 NFL survivor pool picks 

As a substitute, the mannequin is backing a shocking group that wins outright in nicely over 70% of simulations. The time to select this group is now, and you can only see the play over at SportsLine.

Which shocking group is a must-back in your Week 4 NFL survivor pool? Visit SportsLine now to see which team carries you to victory in Week 4, all from the advanced computer model that nailed its Weeks 1, 2 and 3 survivor picks and is up well over $7,000 since its inception.