CJ Cup Byron Nelson betting information: 5 picks our skilled loves this week

Welcome to our weekly PGA Tour gambling-tips column, that includes picks from GOLF.com’s skilled prognosticator Brady Kannon. A seasoned golf bettor and commentator, Kannon is an everyday visitor on SportsGrid, a syndicated audio community dedicated to sports activities and sport betting. You may comply with on Twitter at @LasVegasGolfer, and you’ll learn his picks under for the CJ Cup Byron Nelson, which will get underway Thursday in McKinney, Texas. Together with Kannon’s really helpful performs, you’ll additionally see knowledge from Chirp, a free-to-play mobile platform that encompasses a vary of video games with engaging prizes, giving followers all types of the way to have interaction within the motion with out risking any cash.

For the fourth straight yr, the CJ Cup Byron Nelson can be contested at TPC Craig Ranch in McKinney, Texas, nearly a half-hour north of Dallas. If historical past holds true, we’re in for a birdie-fest this week as the typical rating of the three prior editions of this event has been higher than 24-under par.

It seems like climate can be an element too. Rain and scattered thunderstorms are within the forecast for every day of the occasion. It seems Thursday and Sunday may also be affected by wind. Whereas moisture and doable electrical energy within the air may trigger delays, any important quantity of rain may doubtlessly soften up this golf course and make scoring even simpler.

Climate delays are practically unimaginable to foretell which in flip makes it very troublesome to identify a possible draw bias this week — that’s, if both the early-late or late-early begin occasions will catch a bonus. Thus, I’ve performed it straight, handicapping the golf course and the field with all issues being equal.

TPC Craig Ranch is a par-71 Tom Weiskopf design that stretches to over 7,400 yards. It options very broad fairways with little or no tough and enormous bentgrass greens. Driving distance shouldn’t be essentially required this week however it’s extra essential than driving accuracy, in my view. Lengthy method play can be an element, as will taking advantage of the golf course’s lengthy par 4s, and making the most of the three par 5s. With one other birdie-fest being the expectation, I’ve additionally checked out gamers who excel in making birdies and gamers who putt at a excessive stage.

Golf programs making the record this week that characteristic very related layouts and thus require related talent units for fulfillment are Port Royal Golf Membership (the place they play the Bermuda Championship), Memorial Park in Houston, TPC Summerlin in Las Vegas, and Detroit Golf Membership, the place they maintain the Rocket Mortgage Traditional. Observe that wind can also be a sometimes current climate think about Bermuda, Las Vegas, and Houston.

In returning to a typical stroke-play format this week, we may also return to taking part in our picks for each an outright win and a top-20 end.

Alex Noren (25-1)

Noren has but to overlook a lower in 2024 and, alongside the best way, has racked up six top-25 finishes. He’s No. 1 this week on the correlated programs, having collected top-5 finishes at every venue, together with a runner-up end at Port Royal. During the last 36 rounds, he ranks Seventeenth on this subject for each SG: Method and SG: Placing (bentgrass). He additionally ranks sixth on Par 4s measuring between 450-500 yards and is eighth for SG: Par 5s. On prime of all this, Noren is an excellent wind participant.

Byeong Hun An (30-1)

An is my solely choice this week who shouldn’t be historically an excellent putter. However off-setting that’s the truth that he bombs it off the tee and is No. 1 on this subject for Birdies or Higher Gained over the past 36 rounds. He’s additionally glorious on prolonged method pictures, rating within the prime 14 for Gap Proximity from 175 to over 200-yards. I additionally like the shape this season with top-20 finishes or higher on the Sentry, the Sony Open, Genesis Invitational, Arnold Palmer Invitational, and the Masters.

Adam Schenk (40-1)

When wanting on the stats, one has to love the mixture of areas of success for Schenk: being higher tier in SG: Off the Tee, on the lengthy Par 4s, and being a wonderful putter. Maintain that up all week and also you simply may need an outright winner. In 2023, Schenk had the most effective season of his profession, and he’s held serve for probably the most half in 2024 with a Seventeenth-place end in Phoenix, a nineteenth on the Gamers Championship, a fifth-place end on the Valero Texas Open, adopted by a twelfth on the Masters.

Mackenzie Hughes (45-1)

During the last 36 rounds, Hughes ranks twenty sixth on this subject on the 450-500 yard Par 4s and is fourth for SG: Par 5s. Like Schenk and Noren, he too is without doubt one of the greatest putters on this subject, rating 14th out of 156 gamers. The shape this season has been very sturdy, solely lacking one lower in 10 begins and ending inside the highest 40 seven occasions, together with a third-place end on the Valspar Championship and a 14th in Houston, each occurring as lately as final month. Already a two-time profession winner on Tour, final yr Hughes completed 14th at TPC Craig Ranch.

Maverick McNealy (55-1)

Like Hughes, McNealy too has solely missed one lower this season in 10 stroke-play occasion begins, with top-10 finishes at each the WM Phoenix Open and the Gamers Championship. Much like Schenk’s numbers, McNealy is top-tier on this week’s rankings for SG: Off the Tee, on the lengthy Par 4s, and is No. 2 on this subject for SG: Placing (bentgrass) over the past 36 rounds. On the correlated programs, McNealy has top-10 finishes at TPC Summerlin and Detroit Golf Membership, and has two top-20 finishes at Memorial Park in Houston.

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