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Why one ex-NFL quarterback says Caleb Williams will not have a C.J. Stroud-like rookie season

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July 18, 2024

Why one ex-NFL quarterback says Caleb Williams won’t have a C.J. Stroud-like rookie season initially appeared on NBC Sports Chicago

Forward of a highly-anticipated Bears season, followers are hopeful rookie quarterback Caleb Williams will get off to a scorching begin.

Final 12 months rookie C.J. Stroud had an exceptional season, incomes the NFL’s Offensive Rookie of the 12 months award and ending eighth in MVP voting. Williams ought to be capable of replicate a season near Stroud’s, proper?

“I feel there are two essential explanation why I sit there and say whereas Caleb can have a extremely robust rookie 12 months, it is unrealistic to suppose let’s go do what C.J. did,” Dan Orlovsky stated on ESPN. “Primary, C.J. got here from a way more prepared, X’s and O’s mind football-wise.

“When he was at Ohio State, Ryan Day ran a ton of pro-style stuff when it got here to formations, personnel groupings, motion after the snap and move recreation. So C.J. stepped right into a system with Bobby Slowik that he had loads of recall from school of and a extremely good understanding of how pass-game ideas have been gonna mirror one another.

“Caleb doesn’t come from that. Whereas Lincoln Riley is good and his offense was good, it’s extremely totally different from what he is gonna run in Chicago with Shane Waldron, who’s their offensive coordinator. It is from the Kyle Shannahan and Sean McVay tree. Caleb Williams comes from the offense at USC with Lincoln Riley the place it is RPO-centric, unfold out, tempo, what number of performs can we run? One-read stuff.

“I feel he is sensible sufficient to get the place C.J. did, however he would not have that baseline foundational start line. It is unrealistic to suppose Caleb’s gonna step in and impulsively he’ll hit the bottom operating the identical manner that C.J. did as a result of he would not have the identical basis, mind and football-wise the best way that C.J. did popping out of Ohio State.”

Orlovsky makes an attention-grabbing level concerning the methods Williams and Stroud got here from. Stroud’s system at Ohio State benefitted him with the Texans as a result of the ideas Houston handed him weren’t simple on movie. As an alternative of feeding him easy, one-read performs, the Texans actually put loads of energy and decision-making on his plate.

Stroud took benefit of that to the tune of a season the place he eclipsed 4,108 yards, 23 touchdowns and simply 5 interceptions on a 63.9% completion share. That earned him all of the accolades, together with the NFL’s Offensive Rookie of the 12 months award and his first profession Professional Bowl nod.

One factor Orlovsky did not point out is the robust state of affairs Williams is entering into with the Bears. One may argue it is significantly better than the one Stroud stepped into with the Texans final season.

Williams has succesful, elite receivers on every finish by the use of DJ Moore, Keenan Allen, No. 9 choose Rome Odunze and Cole Kmet. He has a formidable backfield highlighted by D’Andre Swift — who earned the sixth-most speeding yards of any operating again final season — and Khalil Herbert.

The offensive line may use some changes, however even Teven Jenkins instructed Fox Sports activities’ Carmen Vitali this offseason the continuity alone will assist the road enhance drastically. GM Ryan Poles additionally made additions with Ryan Bates, Coleman Shelton and third-round draft choose Kiran Amegadjie.

Stroud arguably had a greater offensive line, particularly with Laremy Tunsil on the forefront. However his prime receivers Nico Collins and Tank Dell aren’t near the elite skills of Moore and Allen.

That is all to say, perhaps Williams has a greater likelihood than we expect, realizing he is entering into a robust state of affairs. However Orlovsky made a terrific level, remembering the season Stroud recorded final 12 months was unprecedented for a rookie.

“What C.J. did final 12 months was traditionally within the dialog for the best rookie season a quarterback has ever had within the NFL,” Orlovsky stated. “It is like evaluating all people to Patrick Mahomes. It isn’t honest. There are solely 5 quarterbacks within the NFL as rookies to throw for over 4,000 yards.”

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