Week 2 betting by the numbers: Manning surges in Heisman odds, Saints shock

On Saturday night time, in a matter of minutes, the one backup quarterback listed in most sportsbooks’ Heisman Trophy odds rose to among the many favorites.

Texas backup QB Arch Manning started Saturday at 150-1 to win the Heisman Trophy at ESPN BET. By halftime of the Longhorns’ sport towards UTSA, Manning’s odds had moved to 16-1.

Manning took over for starter Quinn Ewers, who suffered an stomach pressure within the second quarter. Ewers had been the consensus Heisman favourite getting into the weekend, however now his odds (18-1 as of Sunday at ESPN BET) are longer than his backup’s.

Manning handed for 223 yards and accounted for 5 touchdowns. He threw a landing go on his first try after changing Ewers and in addition scored on a powerful 67-yard run.

A spokesperson for ESPN BET stated 150-1 odds had been acceptable for Manning earlier than Ewers’ harm.

“As soon as Ewers went down, prospects had been eager to get on board with Arch, and his worth was shortly moved accordingly for a participant throwing touchdowns for the brand new No. 1 group within the nation,” the spokesperson stated in an e-mail. “As Ewers’ standing stays considerably up within the air, we anticipate the Arch Manning hype to proceed for no less than another week.”

Caesars Sportsbook’s Joey Feazel updates the chances to win the Heisman Trophy every Saturday night time. He stated he tries to maintain Manning’s odds shorter than different competing sportsbooks.

“He obtained some motion early on,” Feazel stated of the betting curiosity on Manning. “We do not usually have backup quarterbacks listed throughout the season.”

Over the 24 hours from Saturday night time to Sunday night time, there had been extra bets — and extra money wagered — on Manning to win the Heisman Trophy than some other participant at BetMGM. DraftKings additionally reported an uptick in motion on Manning, with roughly one in each 4 Heisman bets on him since Saturday.

“Texas appears to be like like they’re able to enter the dialog alongside Georgia and Ohio State, ” John Murray, government director of the Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas, informed ESPN. “If Ewers is damage or reinjures himself and so they go together with Manning, he would have each alternative to shine. They’ve a variety of high-profile video games on their schedule, as properly.”

In keeping with ESPN’s Pete Thamel, the information relating to Ewers’ harm is healthier than anticipated, and he could miss just one sport.

Ewers’ Heisman odds had been 22-1 on Sunday at ESPN BET. He was off the board at different sportsbooks.

Whereas the Longhorns’ quarterback state of affairs works itself out, Texas is transferring up the board at sportsbooks. The Longhorns are actually the favorites, forward of Georgia, to win the SEC at ESPN BET.

NFL underdogs roll

In Week 2, underdogs dominated once more, profitable seven video games straight up in Sunday’s early slate and cruising to a 10-5 file towards the unfold general.

The most important win got here from the Las Vegas Raiders, who had been 8.5-point canine to the Baltimore Ravens and so long as +2000 in-game whereas trailing within the second half. Las Vegas gained 26-23. The Raiders turned the fourth underdog of no less than 7.5 factors since 2015 to win a sport outright after trailing by 10 within the fourth quarter, per ESPN Stats & Info.

Raiders-Ravens was the most-bet sport of the day at ESPN BET with the majority of the motion on Baltimore. The Ravens attracted essentially the most cash of any group to cowl the unfold at BetMGM and, at Caesars, one bettor put $227,000 on the Ravens moneyline at -455 odds. The guess would have netted round a $50,000 revenue. Oof.

It is the second week in a row that the largest favourite of the week misplaced outright, following the New England Patriots‘ upset of the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 1. With the Tampa Bay Buccaneers additionally coming by way of towards the Detroit Lions in Week 2, 2024 marks the primary time since 2003 that three favorites of greater than seven factors have misplaced within the first two weeks of the season, in keeping with ESPN Analysis.

It is a powerful search for the general public, who typically again favorites week-to-week.

“We had an important morning. I would think about nearly each bookmaker you converse to might be telling you that. Cowboys shedding [to the Saints] was the largest winner for us however we additionally did nice on the Ravens sport, the Jaguars sport, and the Lions sport,” stated John Murray, government director of the Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas. “Even with shedding all three afternoon video games, it was an excellent day for us general.”

Extra large underdogs profitable means extra carnage on the Circa Survivor contest, which misplaced 3,990 entries on the early slate, together with 2,304 from Ravens backers.

MVP shuffle

Josh Allen made large strides within the MVP odds race final week and was the chances chief for about two hours following an uncharacteristically poor efficiency from Patrick Mahomes on Sunday. After the mud settled, although, it was the two-time MVP on high at +275, adopted by C.J. Stroud at +450 and Allen at +600.

The most important movers following Sunday Week 2, although, had been undoubtedly Baker Mayfield and Derek Carr. The 2 veteran quarterbacks have been resurgent of their second seasons with their respective groups, main the NFL in passer ranking en path to 2-0 begins.

Mayfield entered the season as a 100-1 lengthy shot to win MVP at ESPN BET and improved to +7500 after a powerful Week 1. However, following the Buccaneers’ large upset of the Lions on Sunday, the 2018 first general draft decide is now +3000, good for eleventh on the chances board. He took 15% of tickets to win the award on Sunday at DraftKings.

Carr was 150-1 at ESPN BET and noticed odds so long as 300-1 at BetMGM earlier than Week 1. Since then, the New Orleans Saints sign caller has placed on a passing clinic in his first two video games, rocketing as much as +3500 at ESPN BET.

BetMGM reviews that, since Friday morning, Carr has 22.1% of guess share to win MVP — essentially the most of any participant. On Sunday alone, Carr took 30% of bets and 31% of deal with at DraftKings.

The ebook’s highest deal with share over that point interval belongs to Kyler Murray, who has taken 38.2% of cash since Friday morning. The Arizona Cardinals quarterback started the season at +5000, fell to +6000 after an underwhelming Week 1, however now sits at +3000 proper alongside Mayfield.

And, it could be remiss to not point out the beautiful begin for Sam Darnold, who was not even provided at ESPN BET earlier than the season. He debuted at 150-1 after Week 1 and has climbed all the best way to 100-1.

Shocking Saints

Coming into the season, no group had attracted fewer bets to win the Tremendous Bowl than the Saints. There have been extra Tremendous Bowl bets on the Carolina Panthers than on New Orleans this offseason at BetMGM. Two weeks into the season, although, New Orleans is off to a 2-0 begin, with two blowout wins, together with Sunday’s 44-19 thumping of the Dallas Cowboys.

• 0.1: The proportion of cash wagered on the chances to win the Tremendous Bowl that was on the Saints at BetMGM sportsbooks in August, least of any group.

• 100-1: The Saints’ odds to win the Tremendous Bowl getting into the season at ESPN BET. The Saints are actually 35-1 after their 2-0 begin.

• 32.5: The Saints have lined the unfold by a mean margin of 32.5 factors per sport of their opening wins over the Panthers and Cowboys. It is the very best common cowl margin by way of two video games within the Tremendous Bowl period, in keeping with ESPN Stats and Information.

NFL odds and ends

$9.37: The quantity wagered by a bettor with FanDuel on a three-leg parlay that includes all props involving Cardinals receiver Marvin Harrison Jr. The bettor took Harrison to have underneath 4.5 receptions, over 110 yards receiving and rating no less than two touchdowns. Harrison completed with 4 catches for 130 yards with two touchdowns. The bettor gained $8,638.29 off their $9.37 guess.

29 minutes, 21 seconds: The quantity of sport time it took for the Cowboys and Saints to go over 46.5 factors, the primary sport to hit its over earlier than halftime this season. The wager was essentially the most guess over by tickets of the day at BetMGM and ESPN BET, with each books reporting over 78% of bets.

16-3: Cincinnati QB Joe Burrow‘s profession NFL file towards the unfold when an underdog of no less than three factors. The Bengals misplaced to the Kansas City Chiefs 26-25 as 6.5-point underdogs.

22: The variety of legs on a $35 NFL parlay that gained $3,399.72 with FanDuel on Sunday.

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22: The variety of contestants who didn’t submit their alternatives for Week 2 in Circa Survivor, an NFL survivor contest with a $1,000 buy-in and a $14.2 million grand prize.

0: The variety of touchdowns scored by Indianapolis Colts‘ RB Jonathan Taylor. At ESPN BET, extra money was guess on Taylor to attain a landing towards the Green Bay Packers on Sunday than some other participant within the sportsbook’s TD-scorer market.

73.5: The variety of dashing yards Los Angeles Chargers RB J.K. Dobbins eclipsed his over/underneath (57.5) by. The over on Dobbins’ dashing yards attracted extra bets than some other participant prop at BetMGM.

55-1: Saints RB Alvin Kamara‘s odds to attain three or extra touchdowns towards the Cowboys on Sunday. Kamara completed with three dashing touchdowns and one receiving.

Faculty soccer odds and ends

$100: The dimensions of PGA golfer Justin Thomas‘ guess on Alabama to win the nationwide championship at +950 odds. Thomas positioned the primary guess on the new Fanatics sportsbook at Ocean On line casino in Atlantic Metropolis.

9.5: Florida State’s season win complete forward of Week 1. The Seminoles clinched the underneath with Saturday’s loss to Memphis that dropped them to 0-3.

-2.5: The early line on the Sept. 28 showdown between Georgia and Alabama has the Bulldogs as 2.5-point favorites at FanDuel.

-8: The opening line on Tennessee-Oklahoma sport in Norman. At minus-8, it is first time Oklahoma has been greater than a landing underdog at house since 1998 (vs. Texas Tech).

.564: Underdogs in FBS-FBS matchups have lined the unfold in 56.4% of video games over the primary three weeks.