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The place to observe Jets vs. Patriots: Dwell stream, unfold, odds, prediction, decide for 'Thursday Evening Soccer'

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September 19, 2024

Week 3 within the NFL kicks off at MetLife Stadium, the place the New York Jets will play host to the New England Patriots in an AFC East showdown. That is the primary of two matchups these division rivals can have this season. New York snapped its 15-game shedding streak towards the Patriots in Week 18 to cap off the 2023 marketing campaign and can look to start a streak of its personal because it appears to be like towards Thursday night time. 

Each of those golf equipment are 1-1 on the yr. The Patriots opened up the yr with an upset win in Cincinnati however then fell to the Seattle Seahawks of their residence opener on Sunday. As for the Jets, they began the yr on the highway for the primary two weeks and open up MetLife Stadium after notching their first win — a 24-17 victory over Tennessee — in Week 2. 

New York is favored by six on this matchup. As long as that holds, this would be the first time they have been favored towards New England since 2011. How does this head-to-head shake out? Let’s dive in. 

watch

  • Date: Thursday, Sept. 19 | Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
  • Location: MetLife Stadium (East Rutherford, New Jersey)
  • Stream: Prime Video
  • Odds: Jets -6 | O/U 38.5 (SportsLine consensus)

When the Patriots have the ball

New England has proven by way of the primary couple of weeks that they wish to be a ground-and-pound offense led by Rhamondre Stevenson. The again is averaging 23 rushes per recreation this season, which is 10 greater than his earlier career-high of 13 carries per recreation set in 2023. He is discovered the top zone in every of the earlier two video games and has recorded at the least 80 yards speeding. 

Whereas the offense flowing by way of Stevenson would be the Patriots’ desire, they’re going to have to do a greater job of attacking defenses by way of the air. Quarterback Jacoby Brissett has gone underneath 150 yards passing in each video games this season. Hunter Henry was capable of make an impression within the Week 2 loss to Seattle with 109 receiving yards on eight catches, however all different cross catchers have been a relative nonfactor. Particularly, extensive receivers have not precisely been part of New England’s offense to date. Wideouts registered simply three catches for 19 yards in Week 2. The staff’s high receiver, DeMario Douglas, was held and not using a catch.  

A part of that lack of motion that Patriots receivers are seeing could also be as a result of staff’s offensive line points. The membership has struggled to maintain Brissett upright this season as they’ve patched collectively their line, particularly on the left facet. Chukwuma Okorafor started the yr because the staff’s beginning left sort out however was benched early within the opener for Vederian Lowe and has since been placed on the exempt/left squad list. Then, Lowe went down with a knee damage in Week 2, which suggests rookie Caedan Wallace is slated to begin on the left facet on this matchup. To this point, the Patriots are permitting a stress charge of 44.3% this season, which is third-worst within the NFL

When the Jets have the ball

After all, Aaron Rodgers is the central determine and the straw that can stir the drink of New York’s offense. He provides the Jets the very best quarterback play the franchise has seen in many years, and whereas they’ve run a bit cold and hot by way of the primary couple of weeks, they could be beginning to discover their footing. Breece Hall can be a key chess piece for Rodgers because the again has been an element each on the bottom and within the passing assault this season. Within the Week 2 win over Tennessee, Corridor totaled 114 yards from scrimmage and a receiving landing. He has been chargeable for 32.2% of the staff’s offense relationship again to final season. With New England shedding high linebacker Ja’Whaun Bentley (torn pec) for the season, New York could double down on the star again. And when Corridor wants a breather, rookie Braelon Allen confirmed in Week 2 that he could be greater than able to carrying the load. He had 56 scrimmage yards towards the Titans and located the top zone twice. 

When Rodgers decides to drop again and look to the skin, Garrett Wilson can be his first learn, most of the time. Wilson is among the many high receivers within the NFL however has but to actually explode within the early goings of 2024. He registered 57 yards receiving in Week 1 after which 60 in Week 2. Whereas he could possibly be matched up towards former first-round nook Christian Gonzalez on this recreation towards the Patriots, New England did simply permit each DK Metcalf and Jaxon Smith-Njigba to exceed 110 yards receiving on Sunday. 

Patriots vs. Jets key matchup

Arguably, the energy of the Patriots is their capacity to stress the quarterback, led by second-year defensive lineman Keion White, who already has 4 sacks on the season. Whereas knocking Rodgers off of his spot would go a good distance in New England pulling off the upset, they could not have an opportunity to. The Jets are permitting a stress charge of 20.3% this season, which is the very best within the NFL. That is, partially, due to Rodgers getting the ball out in 2.4 seconds, which is the quickest within the NFL by way of two weeks. If that continues and the Jets offense is ready to rapidly transfer down the sphere to construct a lead, the Patriots could possibly be behind the eight-ball in brief order. 

Prediction

New England’s points on offense, headlined by an ineffective passing assault and deteriorating well being on the offensive line, are sufficient to have us fade them on this spot. That is not even mentioning the lack of beginning off-ball linebacker Ja’Whaun Bentley on protection. The Jets offense has the power to stand up early on this recreation, and, the best way that the Patriots are at present constructed, it is exhausting to think about seeing them throw themselves again into the combo. 

Projected rating: Jets 27, Patriots 17
The decide: Jets -6

SportsLine’s Emory Hunt is aware of the sport from a participant’s perspective and he has a robust learn on the Patriots. He’s 18-5 (+1244) on his final 23 NFL picks in video games involving New England. Anybody who has adopted him is approach up. Visit SportsLine to see which way he’s leaning on Thursday night.

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