Prisco's Week 4 NFL picks: Ravens cool off unbeaten Payments, Packers hand Vikings first loss

Is choosing NFL games robust this 12 months or what? Not simply towards the unfold both.

I used to be 7-9 straight-up final week after all of the uncertainty of Week 3 that noticed upsets galore and survivor swimming pools get blown up. That dropped my straight-up document to 24-24, which tells you ways loopy this season is to this point. I’m .500 straight-up? What the heck.

Towards the unfold, it was even worse final week. I went 6-10 to drop my document to 23-22-3. No less than I’m over .500 for the ATS picks. By the best way, that document is tied for the lead in our CBSSports.com expert picks. Some consultants we’re.

So let’s get it rotated. Now we have another week of September video games, after which it is on to October, a month the place issues normally begin to crystallize.

This is hoping I can navigate this closing September week with out a lot peril. It might’t be worse than final week.

The Cowboys have misplaced two straight dwelling video games, whereas the Giants impressed in beating the Browns final week. Dallas has points on each traces and the Giants acquired throughout Deshaun Watson final Sunday. However the Cowboys will tighten issues up in cross safety and the protection shall be higher. Dallas will get again on observe. 

Choose: Cowboys 27, Giants 19 (Consequence: Cowboys 20, Giants 15)

Bonus: SportsLine NFL knowledgeable Larry Hartstein is on a 22-8 ATS roll on Cowboys video games and we are able to inform you he is leaning the Over on this prime-time matchup towards the Giants. Check out which side he’s taking against the spread at SportsLine.

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo)

This can be a huge early division sport with each groups coming off losses. The Saints offense got here again to actuality final week within the loss to the Eagles and now should play an improved Falcons protection. The Atlanta offense shall be challenged too by a strong Saints protection. Search for a low-scoring sport with the Saints pulling off the upset. 

Choose: Saints 20, Falcons 17

Bonus: The SportsLine Projection Mannequin, which is up properly over $7,000 for $100 gamers on top-rated NFL picks since its inception, likes the Saints to cowl towards the Falcons in Week 4. See the other picks the model is backing at SportsLine.

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo)

The Bengals are 0-3 and simply have not regarded proper, particularly on protection. The Panthers received behind Andy Dalton final week and now he will get to face his former workforce. Search for Dalton to play properly towards a Bengals protection that has points. This shall be excessive scoring, however ultimately the Bengals save their season. 

Choose: Bengals 31, Panthers 25

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo)

The Rams got here from behind to beat the 49ers final week, whereas the Bears misplaced in Indianapolis. Chicago is not working the soccer, which places quite a lot of strain on Caleb Williams. The Rams nonetheless have Matthew Stafford, who thrives irrespective of who he is throwing to outdoors. The Rams get this one behind Stafford and drop the Bears to 1-3.

Choose: Rams 26, Bears 20

Bonus: SportsLine’s NFL knowledgeable Jason La Canfora made this sport a part of his early greatest bets, out each Monday morning at SportsLine. See the rest of his early Week 4 plays here.

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)

This is without doubt one of the video games of the week. The Vikings are 3-0 and driving excessive, whereas the Packers are 2-1 and have received two video games with Malik Willis enjoying quarterback. That is as a result of the protection has been excellent. Similar for the Vikings. Which means this must be a low-scoring sport. Packers take it. 

Choose: Packers 21, Vikings 17

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)

The Jaguars are 0-3 and coming off a horrible loss on Monday night time, which implies this can be a quick week for a workforce enjoying unhealthy soccer. The Texans weren’t good final week towards the Vikings, however C.J. Stroud will bounce again right here towards a nasty Jacksonville protection. Texans take it. 

Choose: Texans 30, Jaguars 16

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)

The Steelers are driving excessive at 3-0 and their type travels properly. They’re bodily protection that may restrict the Colts run sport and make Anthony Richardson beat them. He will not. The Steelers and Justin Fields will do sufficient on offense to drag out a victory. 

Choose: Steelers 20, Colts 16

Bonus: The SportsLine Projection Mannequin, which is up properly over $7,000 for $100 gamers on top-rated NFL picks since its inception, likes the Steelers to cowl towards the Colts in Week 4. See the other picks the model is backing at SportsLine.

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)

The Broncos are enjoying consecutive highway video games, however they did keep in West Virginia. They performed properly final week beating the Bucs, however this can be a a lot more durable protection. That shall be an issue for Bo Nix. Aaron Rodgers acquired it going final week and that continues. Jets huge. 

Choose: Jets 27, Broncos 17

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo)

This can be a second straight highway sport for the Eagles towards the NFC South after they beat the Saints final week. The Bucs had been terrible final week in shedding to the Broncos, however that would have been a sandwich sport between the Lions and Eagles. The Bucs are so banged up on protection and the offensive line had points final week. That carries over. Philadelphia takes it. 

Choose: Eagles 23, Bucs 19

Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo)

That is second straight highway sport on a brief week for the Commanders, which is hard. The Cardinals have performed properly, however they’re 1-2 shedding two fairly shut video games. I search for Kyler Murray to win a shootout with Jayden Daniels. This shall be enjoyable to observe. 

Choose: Cardinals 33, Commanders 27

Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo)

This can be a lengthy journey for a Patriots workforce that is not enjoying properly towards a 49ers workforce that has quite a lot of accidents. The 49ers blew their sport towards the Rams final week, however they are going to get again on observe right here. Brock Purdy will play properly, whereas the protection limits a nasty Pats offense. 

Choose: 49ers 24, Patriots 7

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)

The standing of Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert bears watching on this one. If he performs, the Chargers have an opportunity to win. If he does not, I nonetheless suppose they maintain it shut. The Chiefs are enjoying consecutive highway video games and so they have not regarded as crisp this season. This shall be one other shut one for them. 

Choose: Chiefs 23, Chargers 20

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)

Each groups are coming off unhealthy dwelling losses. The Raiders have been contemplating a quarterback change, whereas quite a lot of of us in Cleveland would not thoughts one. Deshaun Watson isn’t enjoying properly. I believe he’ll choose it up right here and play higher. The Browns win their second highway sport of the season. 

Choose: Browns 23, Raiders 17

Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC, fubo)

This can be a huge sport for AFC superiority. The Payments are enjoying in addition to anyone at 3-0, whereas the Ravens are coming off a powerful highway victory over Dallas. The Ravens ran it proper on the Cowboys and they’ll do the identical on this one. Josh Allen has been excellent, however how a lot will he have the soccer if Derrick Henry goes properly? I believe the Ravens run to victory.

Choose: Ravens 24, Payments 21

Monday, 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN, fubo)

The Titans are 0-3 and the Dolphins have main points at quarterback with out Tua Tagovailoa. Tennessee went into Miami and rallied final 12 months to beat the Dolphins behind Will Levis. He hasn’t been the identical quarterback this 12 months, turning it over an excessive amount of, however I believe he can have success on this one. The Titans will win it.

Choose: Titans 25, Dolphins 21

Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET (ABC, fubo)

This can be a huge proving sport for the Seahawks. They’re 3-0, however the schedule hasn’t been robust. This sport shall be. The Lions have performed properly on protection, which can make this a problem for Geno Smith. The Lions offense, which hasn’t been nice, will get going right here. Lions take it. 

Choose: Lions 27, Seahawks 20