NFL Week 4 early odds: 49ers massive favorites over Patriots, massive line swing in Chiefs-Chargers matchup

We’re almost a month into the 2024 common season, and there have been loads of surprises to date. Whereas we could have anticipated the likes of the Kansas City Chiefs to be undefeated at this juncture, the Minnesota Vikings and Seattle Seahawks leaping out to 3-0 marks weren’t on a number of bingo playing cards. It is equally stunning to see the San Francisco 49ers sitting at 1-2 to start the 12 months. 

Week 3 additionally gave us quite a few eyebrow-raising upsets, together with the Carolina Panthers rolling over the Las Vegas Raiders and the Denver Broncos taking down the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to earn their first wins of the season. 

So, what does Week 4 have on deck? Beneath, we’ll take our first take a look at the fourth week of the common season and get our impression on the early traces to see if there’s something they’ll inform us about who the oddsmakers initially see popping out on prime.

Week 4 early odds

(All traces through SportsLine consensus odds; all video games on Sunday until famous)

Notable motion, developments

Cowboys at Giants (Thursday)

Each groups enter Week 4 sitting at 1-2 after Dallas fell to the Ravens, and the Giants entered the win column with a victory over Cleveland. Regardless of having the identical document, the oddsmakers are making the Cowboys a 4.5-point highway favourite on this NFC East matchup. Underneath Mike McCarthy, Dallas is 13-5 ATS as a highway favourite. Underneath Brian Daboll, the Giants are 8-4-1 ATS as a house canine. 

Bengals at Panthers

This line could change following Cincinnati’s matchup on Monday evening, however the membership at present sits as a 5.5-point highway favourite over Carolina. That is up barely from the 5-point unfold in favor of the Bengals on the open, so Andy Dalton’s prolific 2024 debut did not appear to do an excessive amount of in transferring the road nearer to the Panthers. Carolina is 1-2 ATS on the season. 

Broncos at Jets

New York — extra particularly Aaron Rodgers — appears to have impressed people throughout the Thursday win over New England. After opening at Jets -6, this line has now crossed over the landing threshold as New York is now laying eight factors. Denver received into the win column on Sunday after a formidable blowout over the Buccaneers in Tampa Bay, however would not appear to have moved the needle a lot for this upcoming contest. 

Jaguars at Texans

Jacksonville nonetheless has its Week 3 matchup with the Payments on deck for Monday evening, so this line may change relying on what occurs in that recreation. That mentioned, the Texans are at present a 4.5-point favourite over their AFC South rival, which is up a degree after opening at Houston -3.5. The Texans are 2-1 however have been simply throttled by the Minnesota Vikings on the highway, and the C.J. Stroud-led offense has been shaky over the past couple of weeks. That has the membership 0-2-1 ATS on the season. 

Rams at Bears

Chicago’s offense confirmed some flashes late, however in the end fell to 1-2 on the highway in opposition to the Colts in Week 3. Nevertheless, as they head again to Solider Discipline for Week 4, they did sit as a slim 1.5-point favourite over the Los Angeles Rams. Sean McVay’s group is coming off an exhilarating victory in opposition to the 49ers in Week 3, due to a go-ahead subject objective with two seconds remaining within the matchup. That gave L.A. its first cowl of the season, and it will be fascinating to see if the general public drives this line towards them because the week goes on. 

Vikings at Packers

Have a look at the Minnesota Vikings! Kevin O’Connell’s group is 3-0 to start the 12 months, each straight-up and in opposition to the unfold. Nevertheless, they gear up for an NFC North matchup with the Packers as a slight underdog. Inexperienced Bay is laying 2.5 factors as the house group, which is kind of a swing from the 5.5 factors they have been laying on the open. That change is probably going aftershocks from Jordan Love’s harm, however will probably be fascinating to watch his standing and see how that will influence the road. Even with out Love, Malik Willis was capable of hold the Packers afloat to maneuver to 2-1, which features a cowl of their lone recreation at Lambeau Discipline this season.  

Saints at Falcons

After a prolific begin to the season offensively, the Saints got here again all the way down to Earth in a 12-point effort to the Eagles, who pulled away with the win within the last minutes on Sunday. The Saints will now head to Atlanta to face a Falcons group that additionally misplaced late because the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs made a key defensive cease to ship them to 1-2. Due to New Orleans’ sturdy begin to the 12 months, it has introduced this line all the way down to a razor-thin margin. After opening at Falcons -4.5, the road is all the way down to Falcons -1.5.

Early choose: The SportsLine Projection Mannequin has the Saints masking as one among its strongest early picks on the Week 4 slate, giving it greater than a 60% probability of taking place. See all the model’s early Week 4 spread picks and score projections at SportsLine.

Eagles at Buccaneers

Philadelphia notched a important highway win on Sunday in opposition to the Saints, due to sturdy performances from Saquon Barkley and Dallas Goedert and are actually favorites on this upcoming highway matchup in opposition to the Bucs. The Eagles opened as a 3-point favourite however have since come all the way down to Eagles -2.5. Underneath Nick Sirianni, Philly is 7-11-1 ATS as a highway favourite. The supply of A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith for this recreation must also be monitored. In the meantime, Tampa Bay is seeking to bounce again after a tough loss to the Broncos at Raymond James Stadium, the place they managed simply seven factors. Relationship again to final season, the Bucs are 2-2 ATS as a house underdog. 

Steelers at Colts

Pittsburgh is without doubt one of the extra unlikely 3-0 groups within the NFL, however they’ve stayed excellent to date, together with a house win in opposition to the Chargers on Sunday. The Steelers are additionally 3-0 ATS to start the season and are coming into this highway matchup in opposition to Indy as a 1.5-point favourite. This can be a appreciable swing after the Colts opened as a small half-point favourite. Indy defeated the Bears in Week 3, however continues to look inconsistent on offense below Anthony Richardson, so Pittsburgh’s protection may stay a key storyline of their success on this matchup. That mentioned, the membership is just 32-40-3 (44.4%) ATS below Mike Tomlin as a highway favourite. 

Patriots at 49ers

Each of those groups are coming off losses in Week 3. In fact, it is extra stunning to see the 49ers coming into this matchup at 1-2, significantly after dropping two straight. San Francisco allowed the Rams to rally late and sneak away with a win, however they are going to return to Levi’s Stadium as an enormous favourite over a depleted New England group. The Niners are a ten.5-point favourite over the Patriots, which is the biggest unfold on the Week 4 slate. Nevertheless, it’s down from an 11.5-point unfold on the open. New England’s offensive line struggled to maintain whoever was below middle upright in opposition to the Jets, and that may very well be an identical story right here in opposition to the Niners entrance. 

Commanders at Cardinals

The Commanders nonetheless have their Week 3 matchup to concentrate on, however the Cardinals have seen this line for Week 4 leap. After opening at Cardinals -2.5, Arizona is now a 5-point favourite over Washington. Even after falling to 1-2, Kyler Murray’s group has been aggressive by way of the early goings of the season and is 2-1 ATS. 

Browns at Raiders

Each of those golf equipment are coming off tough losses in Week 3, with the Browns dropping a house matchup in opposition to the Giants whereas the Raiders have been torched by the Andy Dalton-led Panthers. These efforts appear to have turned this head-to-head right into a coin flip. Initially, the Browns opened as a 2.5-point highway favourite, however the unfold now sits at Cleveland -1. 

Chiefs at Chargers

Justin Herbert’s ankle harm, combined with the Chiefs persevering with to appear like a defending Super Bowl champion, has helped transfer this line significantly. Kansas Metropolis opened as a 3-point favourite, however that has since exploded to the Chiefs laying 8.5 factors on the highway. Since Patrick Mahomes grew to become the full-time starter in 2018, the Chiefs are 20-21-1 ATS as a highway favourite. 

Payments at Ravens

Buffalo has its Week 3 contest in opposition to the Jaguars nonetheless to concentrate on for Monday evening, however this can be a doozy of a prime-time matchup subsequent week. On paper, these are two of the highest golf equipment within the AFC, and the oddsmakers are assuming this will likely be a decent contest. The Ravens are a 2.5-point favourite at dwelling, and this line has crossed some key markers. It opened at Ravens -3.5 and has come down a full level, driving the hook and subject objective benefit. Baltimore is 0-1 ATS at dwelling this season. 

Titans at Dolphins (Monday)

This can be a matchup between two of the hardest bets within the NFL. Each the Dolphins and Titans are 0-3 ATS on the season, so somebody will likely be taking a look at their first cowl on the 2024 marketing campaign subsequent week. Miami opened as a 6.5-point favourite, however after accidents to Tua Tagovailoa (concussion) and the unsure standing of backup Skylar Thompson (chest), the Titans are actually a 1-point favourite. Total, this must be a stay-away recreation till there’s readability on the Dolphins quarterback state of affairs. 

Seahawks at Lions (Monday)

The Lions opened as a 6-point favourite at dwelling, however Seattle’s 3-0 begin to the 12 months has helped deliver this line all the way down to -4 popping out of Week 3. The Seahawks are 1-1-1 ATS on the season whereas Detroit is 2-1. Underneath Dan Campbell, the traces have lined 62.5% of their video games as a house favourite (10-6).