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Pressing emails, rallies in a number of battleground states per day and countless campaign ads inform the story:
“We’re in an important stretch of this race,” Vice President Harris’s marketing campaign reminded supporters Monday.
SIXTY-THREE DAYS TO ELECTION DAY: As September begins, it’s value taking a minute to type by new polling. The state of the race between Harris and former President Trump nationally stays a lot the identical as earlier than the Democratic Conference: extraordinarily shut. Voters in swing states will finally select the subsequent president.
To date, Trump enjoys nationwide resilience in polls in terms of belief to deal with the financial system and immigration. Harris, nevertheless, is doing higher in surveys than was President Biden earlier than he left the race in July. Voters understand her as certified to serve and mentally and bodily match to be president.
“Of us, we’ve made a variety of progress, and he or she’s going to construct on it,” Biden said at a Pittsburgh union hall whereas showing with Harris for his or her first joint marketing campaign occasion since her nomination. “I’ll be on the sidelines, however I’ll do all the things I can to assist.”
Because the incumbent president, Biden didn’t current himself to voters because the underdog. Harris, alternatively, has made that time from the beginning of her marketing campaign. “In 2020, the election got here right down to about 40,000 votes throughout the battleground states,” marketing campaign chair Jennifer O’Malley Dillon wrote in a Sunday memo. “This November, we anticipate margins to be equally razor-thin.”
“BLUE WALL” FORTIFICATIONS?: Harris slammed Trump over tax cuts and extra time advantages throughout an event in Detroit earlier than flying to Pennsylvania Monday to look with Biden, a son of Scranton, Pa., who says he’s probably the most pro-labor president in historical past.
Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz (D), the vp’s operating mate, warned Monday in Milwaukee that Trump and his administration would undo progress for unions, seniors and middle-class Individuals. A fender bender involving part of Walz’s motorcade made news, however the governor was unhurt.
Harris will marketing campaign in Portsmouth, N.H., Wednesday and journey to Pittsburgh Thursday. Biden will return to Wisconsin Thursday and headline an occasion Friday in Michigan.
Neither Trump nor GOP vice presidential nominee Sen. JD Vance (R-Ohio) appeared on the marketing campaign path on Labor Day.
▪ The New York Times: Trump and Harris gear up for the marketing campaign’s remaining stretch.
▪ Newsweek: How Harris compares with Biden in 2020 and Hillary Clinton in 2016 forward of a key election interval.
▪ Politico: The state of the presidential race as of Labor Day.
The Hill and Decision Desk HQD election model reveals Harris with a 55 % probability of successful as of Aug. 26. Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin stay “toss-ups,” however with Harris bettering on Biden’s chances in every of those states, whereas Michigan strikes from “toss-up” to “lean Democratic” and North Carolina strikes from “lean Republican” to “toss-up.”
The Democratic nominee is polling slightly ahead of the previous president in Nevada and Georgia, however trailing Trump in Arizona, based on an Emerson Faculty Polling/The Hill survey launched final week.
The RealClearPolitics average has Harris forward of Trump by 1.8 proportion factors, neck and neck.
FiveThirtyEight reveals Harris main Trump by 3.2 proportion factors as of Monday.
An ABC Information/Ipsos ballot launched Sunday discovered Harris with a four-point edge over Trump nationally, 50 percent to 46 percent, amongst Individuals who plan to vote in November, roughly in keeping with a survey final month. The ballot’s margin of error was plus or minus 2.1 proportion factors.
UP NEXT: Harris’s marketing campaign at present plans a bus tour with Democratic surrogates starting in Trump’s Palm Seaside, Fla., neighborhood to give attention to reproductive rights, a difficulty Democrats consider will probably be a winner for the occasion in November. The previous president, who has stated privately that abortion restrictions have price some candidates in his occasion, is campaigning on a pledge, if elected, to get insurance coverage firms or the federal government to pay for in vitro fertilization remedies. He additionally stated he opposes Florida’s ban on abortion after six weeks of being pregnant as too restrictive, implying he helps a November poll measure in his state that will overturn it. His efforts to search out center floor on abortion and reproductive points to woo unbiased and swing voters, plus average Republicans, has been criticized by some conservatives.
Trump’s first occasion this week is anticipated to be a ticketed Fox News town hall taped Wednesday on the Pennsylvania Farm Present Complicated in Harrisburg and broadcast that evening. Will probably be moderated by Sean Hannity.
3 THINGS TO KNOW TODAY:
▪ 🚖 A robotaxi is set to be introduced Oct. 10 by Tesla, appropriately at a Hollywood studio. Different firms are betting on airborne taxis, too (Bloomberg “The Big Take” podcast).
▪ 🎓 Enrollment by Black students dropped at some elite schools and universities. Racial range within the new tutorial yr is below a microscope within the wake of the Supreme Court docket’s choice ending affirmative motion.
▪ 🏫 Why did public satisfaction with K-12 education rise up to now yr regardless of few systemic adjustments, based on a brand new Gallup ballot? Right here’s a clue: storytellers, as in politicians and the information media.
LEADING THE DAY
© The Hill / Graphic by Courtney Jones; image by Greg Nash | Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) will probably be joined by colleagues Monday when the Home and Senate returns to Washington.
CONGRESS
LAWMAKERS RETURN from the summer time recess Monday for a three-week dash, throughout which lawmakers will face key legislative deadlines earlier than departing once more for marketing campaign season. However political strain and issues may complicate the trail to addressing these must-pass objects. The Hill’s Emily Brooks breaks down six key issues to observe in Congress this September, from authorities funding to a Veterans Affairs finances shortfall.
Authorities funding is very excessive on lawmakers’ to-do lists, as they’ve till Sept. 30 to cross laws to stop a funding lapse. Whereas the election may make the probabilities of a shutdown much less seemingly, The Hill’s Aris Folley reports leaders in each chambers have their work lower out for them amid deep divides on spending.
In the case of funding, the Division of Veterans Affairs has an enormous drawback: Search for GOP-led hearings to probe a probably big $3 billion finances shortfall on the Veterans Affairs Division, which may influence incapacity advantages this fall. Lawmakers have written to the administration alleging mismanagement and failure to return clear with Congress earlier than July. (Roll Call).
DOJ SPYING: Starting in 2017 below Trump, Justice Division (DOJ) officers secretly collected the cellphone and e mail information of roughly a dozen folks related to Congress, together with lawmakers and aides who routinely cope with nameless whistle-blowers. In an effort to see who is likely to be coming ahead with confidential info, the Trump White Home sought to establish folks inside the federal government who had been sharing particulars of the investigation into whether or not his marketing campaign colluded with Russia in 2016. A few of the aides discovered solely lately that their communications had been collected. Now, whistleblower advocacy teams try to pry extra info out of the DOJ, within the hopes of shaming the company into ending the observe of secretly accumulating congressional communications information (The New York Times).
Roll Call: Rep. Steven Horsford (D-Nev.) is prone to fill an open seat on the highly effective Home Methods & Means Committee.
WHERE AND WHEN
The Home and Senate return to Washington Monday.
The president will obtain the President’s Each day Transient at 11 a.m. within the Oval Workplace. Biden will communicate at 2 p.m. from the South Court docket Auditorium within the Eisenhower Government Workplace Constructing about investing in America.
The vp is in Washington and has no public occasions.
The White Home day by day press briefing is scheduled at 2:30 p.m. and can embody Tom Perez, director of the White Home Workplace of Intergovernmental Affairs.
ZOOM IN
© The Related Press / Julie Carr Smyth | Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio), pictured as he kicked off his reelection marketing campaign, stays in an in depth contest.
MORE IN CAMPAIGNS
Harris and Trump, competing for Pennsylvania votes, are fascinated by metal and trade employees. “President Trump saved his promise to strengthen America’s metal trade by tariffs that sparked new investments totaling practically $15 billion, resulted in about 4,000 new jobs, and created or expanded greater than 65 new home metal and aluminum initiatives,” the Republican Nationwide Committee stated in a Labor Day assertion.
Harris, throughout a marketing campaign occasion in Pittsburgh Monday, stated, “U.S. Steel ought to stay American-owned and American-operated, and I’ll all the time have the backs of America’s steelworkers.” Biden has opposed Nippon Steel’s December deal to purchase U.S. Steel.
HARRIS-TRUMP DEBATE IN A WEEK: The primary (and maybe solely) debate agreed to by the 2 main presidential contenders is scheduled in Philadelphia Sept. 10 and can air on ABC News at 9 p.m. EDT. Moderators are Linsey Davis and David Muir.
REPUBLICANS HAD BEEN FAVORED this yr to win the 2025 majority within the higher chamber, however Harris’s nomination scrambled the taking part in discipline for each events. Whereas the Senate GOP had hoped to select up Montana, Ohio and West Virginia, plus different seats, that purpose could also be slipping away with 63 days remaining within the election cycle.
The Hill’s Al Weaver looks at the highest 5 Senate seats that might flip in November.
2024 Roundup:
▪ Harris sees indicators of surging enthusiasm amongst younger voters. Her marketing campaign desires to show that power into votes.
▪ Amid Harris’ coverage give attention to worth gouging, economists acknowledge some unusual activity within the meals manufacturing and grocery sectors resulting in some daring proposals about easy methods to right it.
▪ Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s title on ballots, even after he suspended his unbiased presidential marketing campaign, poses a danger to Trump’s campaign in key states.
▪ Kennedy and Trump have formed an unlikely alliance. It adopted a six-week crush of behind-the-scenes discussions, embarrassing missteps, secret conferences and personal misgivings.
▪ Within the combat for Congress, candidate rematches may sway the outcomes.
▪ Method behind in polls of feminine voters, Trump found an audience that liked him with Mothers for Liberty.
ELSEWHERE
COURTS
TIME KEEPS ON SLIPPING, SLIPPING, INTO THE FUTURE: Particular Counsel Jack Smith tossed the Trump prosecution calendar to Federal Decide Tanya Chutkan Friday as inside her discretion, a shift. And in New York, the previous president is making an attempt to harness the Supreme Court docket’s presidential immunity ruling to delay his Sept. 18 sentencing for his Might conviction within the hush cash case. Manhattan District Legal professional Alvin Bragg (D) took no place on Trump’s request for a sentencing delay, as a substitute saying he would defer to the choose (The Hill and Politico).
HUNTER BIDEN’S TAX TRIAL — set to begin in Los Angeles this week — might not be the political occasion it might have been if his father, Joe Biden, had been nonetheless operating for reelection, however he’ll nonetheless be within the highlight as he faces a number of counts of tax fraud and tax evasion. If discovered responsible, the youthful Biden may withstand 22 years behind bars. The embattled son is accused of withholding no less than $1.4 million between 2016 to 2019, within the throes of his habit to crack cocaine following his brother’s dying from mind most cancers. He has since paid the taxes owed.
Biden’s drug habit was a focus of his earlier trial on felony gun expenses, which marked the primary felony conviction of a sitting president’s youngster. The sordid particulars of that point in Biden’s life are anticipated to play a equally important position in his tax trial. He’s pleaded not responsible (The Hill).
© The Related Press / Ohad Zwigenberg | Tens of hundreds of demonstrators in Tel Aviv through the weekend urged launch of hostages held in Gaza and search a ceasefire.
INTERNATIONAL
NO CEASE-FIRE: Biden stated Monday that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu isn’t doing sufficient to safe a hostage deal. The U.S. is ramping up strain on the Israeli chief to succeed in a cease-fire settlement after six extra hostages had been discovered lifeless in Gaza over the weekend (The Hill).
Netanyahu underscored his refusal to comply with a truce that will contain Israel’s withdrawal from Gaza or result in a everlasting halt to the preventing (The New York Times).
“What message would it not ship Hamas,” to cede below strain following the deaths of extra hostages, the prime minister requested rhetorically Monday. “Slay hostages and also you’ll get concessions?”
Virginia is flying its flags at half-staff today, in honor of U.S. citizen Hersh Goldberg-Polin, one in every of six hostages held in Gaza who had been killed in current days. Biden referred to as Goldberg-Polin’s dad and mom, who addressed the Democratic conference final month, to offer condolences. Talking Sunday to households of U.S. hostages, White Home nationwide safety adviser Jake Sullivan stated Biden is contemplating presenting Israel and Hamas a remaining proposal for a deal later this week, Axios reports. In the meantime in Israel, tens of hundreds of protesters poured into the streets Sunday evening to demand Netanyahu comply with a cease-fire (The Hill).
▪ The Washington Post: The United Kingdom is suspending some arms exports to Israel, citing “a transparent threat” that the arms is likely to be utilized in “severe violation of worldwide humanitarian legislation.”
▪ ABC News: Some 160,000 Gaza kids acquired their first vaccination for polio on Sunday and Monday.
▪ NPR: Voters in two states in jap Germany Sunday delivered a far-right occasion its greatest end result since World Warfare II. Right here’s what the election outcomes imply for the nation’s political future.
▪ The Wall Street Journal: Antiestablishment populism is on the rise in Europe, fueled not simply by migration and financial and safety fears, however by a deeper development: Eroding confidence in authorities.
▪ The Hill: Russia launched an in a single day barrage of drones and missiles at Kyiv as kids in Ukraine ready to return to highschool.
▪ The Hill: A Venezuelan choose reportedly ordered the arrest of opposition candidate Edmundo González Monday amid ongoing controversy over the nation’s election. Though the U.S. has argued there’s “overwhelming proof” that he gained, the ruling occasion’s Nicolás Maduro was declared the winner.
OPINION
■ Trump’s marijuana misstep, by Charles Fain Lehman, opinion contributor, The Wall Street Journal.
■ The federal minimal wage of $7.25 an hour is poverty pay. It’s time to lift it, by The Los Angeles Times editorial board.
■ America’s luck on unemployment might quickly run out, by Peter Coy, opinion author, The New York Times.
THE CLOSER
© The Related Press / Jorgen Ree Wiig, Norwegian Directorate of Fisheries | A pleasant, world famend white beluga whale generally known as Hvaldimir, which first appeared in Norway in April 2019 carrying a harness, was discovered lifeless Saturday in a Norwegian harbor and will probably be autopsied.
And at last … 🌊 Norwegians weren’t the one ones charmed by a 2,700-lb. Beluga whale who loved folks, responded handy alerts, may need been an escaped Russian spy and made the nation’s fish-farm neighborhoods his house since 2019. The superstar whale was found dead off the coast of Norway Saturday by a marine biologist who tracked the creature generally known as Hvaldimir for ocean-advocacy group Marine Mind.
“He meant greater than I can put into phrases, to me, to the crew, and to hundreds of individuals whose lives he had profoundly impacted,” stated scientist and Marine Thoughts CEO and founder Sebastian Strand, including that Hvaldimir was recognized to be alive as lately as Friday. An post-mortem was carried out Monday.
“It doesn’t matter what now, a beloved pal of many is gone,” Strand stated.
Keep Engaged
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