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Justin Trudeau retreats from Canada’s liberal immigration regime

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September 1, 2024

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Justin Trudeau this week moved to quell a public backlash to one of many world’s most progressive migration insurance policies by rolling again Canada’s international employee scheme.

Trailing in polls forward of an election subsequent yr, the prime minister introduced measures to slash the variety of new arrivals. However executives fear the measures will curb their provide of low cost labour.

Simranzeet Singh, supervisor of coverage on the Ontario Chamber of Commerce, mentioned that extra session was wanted to make sure “modifications don’t inadvertently hurt our financial system or vital providers”.

Trudeau advised reporters on Monday that the federal government was “trying on the numerous (migration) streams to be sure that, as we transfer ahead, Canada stays a spot that’s optimistic in its help for immigration but additionally accountable in the best way we combine and make pathways for achievement”.

The transfer marked an abrupt change for Trudeau, who has championed Canada’s openness to migrants and welcomed refugees from war-ravaged nations together with Syria and Ukraine. In 2015, he greeted Syrian refugees at Toronto airport by handing them winter jackets and declaring: “You’re residence.”

The international staff programme is credited with serving to Canada get better from the pandemic however has been more and more blamed for the excessive value of housing, strain on the healthcare system and rising youth unemployment.

Conservative occasion chief Pierre Poilievre has made Canada’s skyrocketing value of dwelling and sluggish financial system a central component of his election marketing campaign.

On Thursday Poilievre claimed Trudeau’s authorities had “destroyed our immigration system”.

“We’ve got to have a smaller inhabitants development,” he mentioned.

Canada follows the UK and Germany in cracking down on immigration within the face of public disquiet about an inflow of foreigners. Immigration has additionally grow to be central to this yr’s US election, with Democratic candidate Kamala Harris below hearth for a rise within the variety of migrants crossing the southern border from Mexico in the course of the Biden administration.

Canada has welcomed 1.63mn new residents since January 2018 with almost one-third coming from India, the Philippines or China, in line with official data

In 2021, greater than 8.3mn folks, or nearly one-quarter of Canada’s inhabitants, had been migrants, in line with official data. By comparability, in 2022 about 14 per cent of the UK’s nearly 70mn folks had been born abroad, according to Oxford college’s migration commentary centre.

David Coletto, chief govt of Ottawa-based polling agency Abacus Information, mentioned that migration was one motive for the opposition Conservatives’ 17 point polling lead over Trudeau’s Liberals.

“Our information exhibits just one in 4 suppose the nation goes in the proper course,” he mentioned.

Canada’s inhabitants hit 40mn final yr after rising by greater than 1mn in a yr. Short-term and everlasting migration accounted for 96 per cent of this inhabitants development.

In November, two-thirds of Canadians surveyed mentioned immigration was “too excessive” and 31 per cent mentioned “approach too excessive”, Coletto mentioned. A Metropolis Institute and the Affiliation for Canadian Research ballot in March 2024 discovered “one in two Canadians” mentioned there have been too many immigrants.

Trudeau’s new measures would slash from 20 per cent to 10 per cent the share of low-wage momentary international staff that Canadian employers can hire — reversing a 2022 coverage that has elevated the nation’s inventory of momentary international staff to just about 3mn folks. Trudeau has hinted at broader immigration reform within the autumn.

In January, Ottawa additionally capped the variety of worldwide college students for the yr at 360,000. Immigration minister Marc Miller mentioned on the time that the provision of international college students had “grow to be so profitable that it opened a path for its abuse” by profiteering training establishments and would-be college students.

Michael Bonner, a ministerial adviser within the earlier Conservative authorities, mentioned firms use the international employee schemes as a central a part of their enterprise mannequin to maintain wages and costs low.

“That is unhealthy sufficient, however it additionally costs Canadians out of the labour market,” he mentioned.

The brand new measures embrace an exemption for agricultural producers, significantly these in distant areas the place it’s troublesome to satisfy labour wants regionally.

Dan Kelly, president of the Canadian Federation of Impartial Enterprise, the nation’s largest companies affiliation, mentioned labour shortages “will solely worsen in agriculture, caregiving and expert trades, in addition to in rural areas”.

He referred to as the criticism of international staff “unfounded political assaults”, including that “94 per cent of employers” who depend on the programme had been compliant with safety measures.

The Canadian authorities has additionally come below strain to stem the movement of international staff throughout the border with the US, which has strained relations between the governments.

“US lawmakers are calling to harden the northern border with Canada due to the fears of unlawful migration from Canada. So, stemming the movement of those visas will bolster US relations,” mentioned Glenn Cowan, founder and chief govt of One9, a enterprise capital firm centered on safety.

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