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Election outcomes night time 2024: Your important information

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July 4, 2024

By Sean SeddonBBC Information

BBC A woman watching televisionBBC

Settle in, of us – it’s going to be a protracted night time.

Our election night time watcher’s information contains key timings and the pivotal seats you need to be careful for as we wait to search out out who would be the subsequent prime minister.

We’ll even be telling you the place you’ll be able to watch, pay attention and browse every part you’ll want to know concerning the outcomes from throughout the BBC.

So in case you’re staying up, we hope you’ve received Friday booked off and also you’re stocked up on snacks and low. Now make your self comfy.

22:00 – Exit ballot marks the beginning of outcomes night time

General view of BBC Broadcasting House (with overlay of NBH projected onto Broadcasting House) in London just ahead projection of the GfK/Ipsos MORI Exit Poll (conducted for BBC/ITV/Sky) in 2017

That is the primary large second of the night time. Voters in additional than 130 constituencies are polled throughout the nation on behalf of broadcasters.

The outcomes permit BBC analysts to forecast roughly what number of seats every get together has received throughout Britain. The exit ballot isn’t all the time precisely proper, however most of the time it provides a superb indication of the place we’re heading.

The result’s being projected on the BBC’s London HQ, Broadcasting Home.

Staying up previous then? We’ve received you coated.

On-line: Comply with all of the election developments and outcomes on the BBC Information web site and app, the place we’ll be working a dwell web page by the night time with evaluation from correspondents and consultants.

TV: The BBC’s Election 2024 programme with Laura Kuenssberg, Clive Myrie and Chris Mason begins on BBC One and BBC Information at 21:55 BST. You may also maintain updated by tuning in to the BBC News Channel and the Election 2024 livestream on BBC iPlayer.

There will even be devoted outcomes programmes in Scotland, Northern Eire and Wales.

23:00 – The race to be first

Getty Images Ballot boxes arrive at Thornaby Pavillion for the verification process to begin after polls close during local elections in England and Wales on May 02, 2024 in Thornaby on Tees, England.Getty Pictures

Sunderland was well-known for getting the primary end result out however this 12 months it might come from close by Blyth and Ashington, a brand new seat.

That is conventional Labour territory however contains cities the place voters have switched to the Tories lately.

The essential factor to be careful for right here would be the measurement of any swing in direction of Labour, which is able to present the primary little bit of arduous information pointing to how the get together has carried out nationally.

Bear in mind, all end result timings are estimates and will change.

Radio: Test in with Nick Robinson, Rachel Burden and Henry Zeffman on Radio 4 and 5 Stay. The Newscast podcast group are internet hosting a watch-along with 150 listeners on the BBC’s London HQ. A particular version of the podcast shall be obtainable on Friday morning. Pay attention here.

00:00 – The calm earlier than the storm

Getty Images Male hands pouring coffee in a white mug at night timeGetty Pictures

Not many outcomes are due in round midnight – are you able to resist the urge to go to mattress throughout this lull?

There may very well be an early eye-catching lead to Swindon South, the place Labour hope to unseat former Justice Secretary Robert Buckland.

That will be ominous for Rishi Sunak – and he’ll even be involved if the Liberal Democrats make an early breakthrough in Harrogate and Knaresborough.

01:00 – Outcomes trickle in

Getty Images Members of staff count ballots at the Westmorland and Lonsdale constituency counting centre in Kendal, north west England, on June 8, 2017.Getty Pictures

Beginning to really feel these first sparkles of tiredness? Effectively, it’s about to begin choosing up.

The massive end result to look out for is Darlington, which the Tories took from Labour in 2019 beneath Boris Johnson. Equally, be careful for Wrexham at round 01:30.

To place it merely, if Labour isn’t profitable this kind of place again, it most likely isn’t profitable.

In Basildon and Billericay, we’ll discover out if Conservative Get together chairman Richard Holden’s relocation to this normally secure Tory seat has paid dividends for him.

Maintain your eyes peeled for Rutherglen, which is because of be the primary end result from Scotland. We’ll begin to discover out if pro-independence voters have caught with the SNP, stayed at house or switched to Labour.

On-line: Bear in mind, you’ll be able to see all the outcomes on-line and they are going to be up to date all through the night time.

Worldwide customers can entry all BBC Information election content material on BBC.com.

02:00 – Outcomes are available thick and quick

Getty Images Ballot papers arrive to be counted after voters went to the polls in the UK local elections in Southend, England.Getty Pictures

Boris Johnson received a string of seats in conventional Labour heartlands within the Midlands and northern England in 2019 on a promise to “get Brexit finished”.

Be careful for locations like Bolsover, West Bromwich and Hartlepool.

They will begin to give us a way of whether or not the Conservatives have held on to those so-called purple wall constituencies or whether or not Labour has received them again.

When you’re studying this shortly after polls shut and questioning what time to get up so as to see the large moments, this is able to be a superb time to set your alarm for.

In accordance with BBC polling guru Prof Sir John Curtice, an eventual end result may very well be forecast by broadcasters round this time within the occasion of a landslide. It wouldn’t be official – it might simply imply that based mostly on the outcomes up to now, the BBC and others would possibly really feel assured sufficient to “name it”.

Between 02:30 and 03:00, we’re anticipating the tempo of declarations to actually decide up – so in case you’ve received to rise up for work quickly, stroll away now whilst you nonetheless can.

Look ahead to Na h-Eileanan an Iar – this island constituency off Scotland’s west coast might need the smallest inhabitants of any within the UK, however it’ll give us an early signal of whether or not Labour are breaking by north of the border.

In Northern Eire, the efficiency of the DUP may very well be the story of the night time.

Get together chief Gavin Robinson is dealing with a robust problem from Naomi Lengthy, the chief of the Alliance Get together, in Belfast East, whereas in South Antrim, the Ulster Unionist Get together thinks it has a superb likelihood of returning to Westminster by beating the DUP.

The DUP can be beneath strain from Alliance in Lagan Valley, which is the seat previously held by Sir Jeffrey Donaldson – who resigned as DUP chief earlier this 12 months when he was charged with historic intercourse offences, which he denies. That result’s due a bit later.

03:00 – For whom the bellwethers toll

When you’re staying up, get some espresso and strap in – as a result of if alarm bells aren’t already ringing for one of many two predominant events, they quickly shall be.

Bellwether seats like Nuneaton and Stevenage are hotly contested locations which have switched between Labour and Tory. The get together that wins in Dartford has gone on to kind a authorities at each election since 1964. Keep watch over Scarborough and Whitby too.

In brief, if Labour are profitable these seats, they‘re more likely to be on for a snug majority – and in the event that they’re not, then the pollsters could need to maintain a low profile for some time.

Sir Keir Starmer shall be watching from Holborn and St Pancras, the place his result’s due at across the similar time as his predecessor’s. Jeremy Corbyn shall be studying his destiny down the street in Islington North, the place he’s standing as an unbiased.

Additionally watch Chingford and Woodford Inexperienced, the place Labour’s try to unseat former Tory chief Sir Iain Duncan Smith has been sophisticated by its former candidate Faiza Shaheen working as an unbiased.

Then there may be Rochdale, the place we’ll discover out if ex-Labour MP George Galloway’s current by-election victory was a short lived protest vote or if he’s there to remain.

In Wales, a superb night time for Plaid Cymru would imply holding on to their seats in west Wales – which, due to boundary modifications, would imply beating Rishi Sunak’s chief whip Simon Hart in Caerfyrddin – and taking Ynys Môn from the Tories. They’re due round this time.

03:30 – Senior Tories in highlight as floodgates open

Getty Images Alex Chalk, Jacob Rees-Mogg, Grant Shapps and Penny MordauntGetty Pictures

When you’re nonetheless with us by this stage, then within the phrases of Chris Mason, you clearly ooze stamina.

Now it’s going to get hectic. About one fifth of all the outcomes are attributable to be introduced in a 30-minute window from 03:30.

Consideration will flip to senior Tories in seats the place pre-election polls recommended they may lose. Look ahead to:

  • Cheltenham – Justice Secretary Alex Chalk
  • North East Somerset and Hanham – former minister Jacob Rees-Mogg
  • Welwyn Hatfield – Defence Secretary Grant Shapps
  • Portsmouth North – Chief of the Home of Commons Penny Mordaunt

There could also be some excessive drama in Surrey, the place Chancellor Jeremy Hunt is being pushed by the Lib Dems in Godalming and Ash. A sitting chancellor has by no means misplaced their seat but when issues are going actually badly for the Tories, that might change.

Elsewhere, we’ll get a way of how the Lib Dems and Greens are doing.

Each Wimbledon and South Cambridgeshire are key Lib Dem targets, however the get together will want a a lot greater swing to win someplace like Chichester, which is Training Secretary Gillian Keegan’s seat. In the event that they win there, they’re having an excellent night time.

In Bristol Central, Inexperienced Get together co-leader Carla Denyer has one of many get together’s finest possibilities of taking a brand new seat.

The get together’s different chief, Adrian Ramsay, will hope to win in Waveney Valley – although we’re not anticipating that end result till nearer to 04:30.

Reuters Jeremy Hunt in Downing StreetReuters

04:00 – Sunak and Farage take the stage

Rishi Sunak’s constituency Richmond and Northallerton isn’t attributable to declare till round this time, by which period his get together’s destiny could already be sealed. This might properly be the primary time within the night we hear him communicate.

Reform UK has shaken up this election however will it make it into the Commons? At round 04:00, we’ll discover out if Nigel Farage has received in Clacton, a race that marks his eighth try to turn out to be an MP.

Two different large Reform targets are due round that point, too – Richard Tice in Boston and Skegness and Lee Anderson in Ashfield.

Elsewhere, the image in Scotland needs to be fairly clear after the Glasgow outcomes are by. The SNP will really feel it has weathered the storm if it limits any losses there – however Labour wins in Glasgow South and Glasgow West might point out an actual shift throughout the nation.

Profitable again Gordon Brown’s outdated seat Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy from the SNP can be a giant symbolic second for Labour, and the SNP’s Westminster chief Stephen Flynn will hope to stop any revival in Aberdeen South.

04:51 – A brand new day – and a brand new authorities?

Getty Images Pink sunrise over WestminsterGetty Pictures

Seen that unusual glowing gentle on the window? That’s the solar arising. When you’re nonetheless awake by now, give your self a giant pat on the again.

By the point it’s gentle, we’re more likely to know who will kind the following authorities, as a result of sufficient seats ought to have been declared for a celebration to go the 326 seats wanted for a majority.

Within the occasion of a Labour landslide or a really comfy win, we might have already got reached that time earlier within the night time, nearer to 04:00. If the Tories have defied the polls or the election is shut, it might come later.

05:00 – Final outcomes are available

Professor Sir John Curtice at work

If you’re nonetheless up by now, you might be both: a) terribly caffeinated or, b) Professor Sir John Curtice. Both approach, you’ve earned your election night time stripes.

Mercifully, there needs to be a little bit of a breather round this time because the tempo of outcomes gradual – however there are some large ones nonetheless to return.

Deciding to run in Aberdeenshire North and Moray East led to Douglas Ross saying he’ll stop as chief of the Scottish Conservatives attributable to inner get together anger over his try to serve in Westminster and Holyrood on the similar time. We’re attributable to discover out if it was value it.

Johnny Mercer is one other high-profile Tory determine dealing with a tricky problem. Labour hope to take his Plymouth Moor View seat at round this level within the morning.

At round 05:30, we’re anticipating to get Liz Truss’s lead to South West Norfolk.

06:00-07:00 – What does all of it imply?

PA Larry the cat in front of Downing StreetPA

Individuals who went to mattress after the exit ballot shall be waking as much as a set of outcomes that is kind of full, with counting solely persevering with in very shut seats or ones that began late for logistical causes.

If issues have gone badly for the Tories, we might nonetheless see some large names shedding their seats at this level – for instance, Northern Eire minister Steve Baker in Wycombe and Jonathan Gullis, the deputy chairman of the Conservative Get together, in Stoke-on-Trent North.

Regardless of the end result, the main target will now begin transferring to victory speeches, recriminations, resignations and what the brand new authorities will appear like.

Outcomes night time may be over, however actually, the large stuff is simply starting – so in case you’ve been with us all night time, for goodness sake, go to mattress.

On-line: Comply with all of the response to the election developments and outcomes on the BBC Information web site and app.

TV: Sophie Raworth, Jon Kay and Vicki Younger will lead TV protection on BBC One and BBC Information into the afternoon.

Radio: The At this time programme shall be drilling down into the end result from 06:00 on Radio 4. World audiences can observe occasions, with a mixture of devoted UK election protection and worldwide information, by the BBC World Service.

Election Essential. Get the latest political analysis and big moments, delivered to your inbox every weekday

Join: A particular version of our Election Necessities e-newsletter shall be despatched to subscribers on Saturday – ensure you’re signed up here. There’ll even be an additional Information Every day e-newsletter – enroll here to ensure you don’t miss something.

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