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Crest Nicholson slides into loss amid UK housing market woes

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June 13, 2024

The UK housebuilder Crest Nicholson has tumbled into the purple and slashed its dividend, highlighting the struggles within the UK property sector.

Warning for the fourth time in a yr that income could be beneath expectations, the FTSE 250 firm stated it continued to be buffeted by risky mortgage charges and slowing demand within the housing market.

Crest reported a pre-tax lack of £30.9m within the six months to the top of April, down from a £28.4m in the identical interval a yr earlier.

Its variety of house completions fell 12% in six months compared with a yr earlier. It now expects to make an adjusted pre-tax revenue of £22m-£29m for the complete monetary yr, beneath analyst forecasts of virtually £39m. Shares fell 8% in early buying and selling on Thursday.

The housebuilder stated momentum had “softened barely” since April, reflecting market expectations that rate of interest cuts will come a lot later within the yr than beforehand anticipated. It stated the final election was additionally “creating some short-term uncertainty”.

Crest is taking a one-off cost of £31.4m – nearly double its earlier estimate of £15m – after finishing a overview of prices to repair constructing defects at 4 of its websites. It reduce its interim dividend by greater than 80% to 1p.

The housebuilder stated that the financial uncertainty that adopted the mini-budget in September 2022 had continued to have an effect on the housing market.

“Whereas mortgage charges have been secure within the interval, there was little impetus for customers to enter the market, with many customers ready for a discount in charges,” the corporate stated, including that planning issues additionally continued to take longer to progress.

The housebuilder’s outcomes are the newest indication that confidence within the UK’s housing market is starting to falter as markets more and more guess rate of interest cuts will come later within the yr.

Metropolis merchants anticipate the Financial institution of England will hold off reducing the cost of borrowing from 5.25% when policymakers meet subsequent week. Earlier this yr, monetary markets expected 4 quarter-point price cuts however now anticipate two on the most, with the primary not till late summer season or early autumn.

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A examine from the Royal Establishment of Chartered Surveyors (Rics) printed on Thursday discovered {that a} web stability of 8% of property professionals stated homebuyer demand fell quite than rose in Could, marking the weakest studying since November 2023. Purchaser demand was weakest within the south-east and south-west of England, the report stated.

Nonetheless demand continues to outstrip provide within the personal rented sector, leaving tenants going through rises in the price of residing and falling affordability ranges, Rics stated. A web stability of 35% of execs stated tenant demand rose quite than fell.

On Thursday, Virgin Cash reported sturdy revenue development bolstered by the impact of upper rates of interest. The lender, which is the topic of a proposed £2.9bn takeover by the constructing society Nationwide, reported an increase in pre-tax revenue to £279m within the six months to the top of March, up from £236ma yr earlier. Nonetheless, it stated that in its mortgages division, balances decreased by 2% within the first half to £56.6bn, reflecting a subdued marketplace for completions.

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