Canada Getting ready for 2nd US Civil Struggle?

On June 16, 2024, a Facebook user posted a standing claiming Canada was making preparations within the occasion of a second American Civil Struggle.

“Did you Know? Canada is making ready for the US to have a Civil Struggle,” the person wrote.

Similar posts appeared elsewhere on Fb, with one user asking: “Is the Canadian authorities genuinely nervous about the opportunity of an American civil struggle?”

The claim additionally cropped up on X in June 2024, the place one user posted a hyperlink to a YouTube Short — with greater than 200,000 views on the time of this writing — that additionally posited Canada was making ready for one more U.S. civil struggle. A TikTok user linked to the YouTube account additionally posted the video, the place it had amassed greater than 770,000 views on the time of this writing.

The video’s narrator claimed the Canadian authorities printed a “new report” titled “Disruptions on the Horizon,” which proposed a civil struggle south of the nation’s border “as a situation price worrying about.”

He stated the doc cited escalating “ideological divisions, democratic erosion and home unrest” because the potential causes of a civil battle within the U.S., however added the Canadian authorities thought-about it an “inconceivable, however extremely excessive affect occasion.”

The doc in query was printed by the Canadian authorities on April 22, 2024, and it did cite a civil struggle within the U.S. as a possible future disruption that Canada must be ready for. Nevertheless, it didn’t say any preparations have been below manner, which is why we have now rated this declare and the YouTube and TikTok video as a “Combination” of truths and falsehoods.

Policy Horizons Canada (PHC) — which describes itself as “the Authorities of Canada’s centre of excellence in foresight” — titled the report “Disruptions on the Horizon.” PHC is a Canadian authorities group that gives the federal government with future-oriented proposals to affect resolution making; nevertheless, its publications are usually not essentially authorities coverage. In “Disruptions on the Horizon,” PHC famous its content material “doesn’t essentially mirror the views of the Authorities of Canada.”

In a bit titled “Reflections on key disruptions,” which “explores 18 disruptions that might have vital affect for Canada,” the doc cited the opportunity of a second civil war erupting within the U.S. as an “underanticipated disruption.”

It stated escalating ideological divisions, democratic erosion, and home unrest may plunge the U.S. into civil struggle, which is why Canada wanted to be ready for such an occasion. Nevertheless, it didn’t say the Canadian authorities had began making ready for a civil struggle.

Different underanticipated disruptions deemed mandatory for Canada to organize for included antibiotics not working, the fundamental each day wants of Canadians — similar to housing, meals and water — not being met, and a 3rd world struggle breaking out.

Distinguished disruptions included residents being unable to inform what’s true or false on account of misinformation, emergency companies turning into overwhelmed, synthetic intelligence operating wild, and billionaires taking up the world.

The doc added:

Exploring each outstanding and underanticipated disruptions may also help resolution makers assume by way of potential implications, coverage issues, and preparedness. One disruption may have cascading implications in surprising areas, and the incidence of 1 disruption may set off others.

Quite a few media shops reported on the Coverage Horizons Canada doc, similar to Politico, The Economic Times and the Daily Mail.