Betting suggestions for Week 1 Thursday Night time Soccer: Ravens vs. Chiefs

The 2024 NFL season kicks off Thursday evening with the defending Tremendous Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs internet hosting the Baltimore Ravens at GEHA Subject at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas Metropolis, Missouri. The Chiefs opened as 3-point favorites over the Ravens within the rematch of the AFC Championship recreation, which is the place the road at present sits, with the overall at 46.5.

Odds present as of publish time, courtesy of ESPN BET

The strains

Unfold: Chiefs (-3)
Moneyline: Chiefs (-150), Ravens (+130)
Over/beneath: 46.5

First-half unfold: Chiefs -2.5 (+115), Ravens +2.5 (-145)
Chiefs complete factors: Over 24.5 (Even), beneath 24.5 (-130)
Ravens complete factors: Over 21.5 (-115), beneath 21.5 (-115)

The Props

Passing yards

• Patrick Mahomes complete passing yards: Over 269.5 (-115), beneath 269.5 (-115)

• Lamar Jackson complete passing yards: Over 221.5 (-115), beneath 221.5 (-115)

Passing touchdowns

• Patrick Mahomes complete passing touchdowns: Over 1.5 (-180), beneath 269.5 (-+145)

• Lamar Jackson complete passing touchdowns: Over 1.5 (+135), beneath 1.5 (-170)

Dashing yards

• Isiah Pacheco complete speeding yards: Over 58.5 (-115), beneath 58.5 (-115)

• Derrick Henry complete speeding yards: Over 63.5 (-115), beneath 63.5 (-115)

• Lamar Jackson complete speeding yards: Over 47.5 (-110), beneath 47.5 (-120)

• Patrick Mahomes complete speeding yards: Over 20.5 (-110), beneath 20.5 (-120)

Receiving yards

• Travis Kelce complete receiving yards: Over 57.5 (-120), beneath 57.5 (-110)

• Zay Flowers complete receiving yards: Over 52.5 (-115), beneath 52.5 (-115)

• Mark Andrews complete receiving yards: Over 48.5 (-115), beneath 48.5 (-115)

• Rashod Bateman complete receiving yards: Over 28.5 (-120), beneath 28.5 (-110)

Choose of the sport: Beneath 46.5

Whereas this matchup options two of the league’s most explosive offenses, I am eyeing the beneath 46.5 for Thursday evening, primarily due to the formidable defenses that might be on show. Each defensive items are elite, with the Ravens and Chiefs ending as the highest two scoring defenses final season.

The Ravens led the NFL in sacks and takeaways, whereas Baltimore’s secondary has one of many league’s greatest safeties in Kyle Hamilton, identified for his versatility. Hamilton, alongside cornerback Marlon Humphrey, can disguise coverages successfully, probably forcing Mahomes to carry the ball longer and growing the probabilities of sacks or hurried throws.

The Chiefs’ power on protection is its move rush, led by Chris Jones and George Karlaftis, who mixed for a powerful 21 sacks final season. Baltimore’s offensive line could possibly be a possible weak spot in 2024, with questions across the inexperience of recent gamers. The Ravens return solely two starters, which may impression move safety.

Kansas Metropolis’s receivers additionally stay a query mark. Whereas the Chiefs added speedster Xavier Worthy by means of the draft, he is nonetheless an unproven rookie. In the meantime, Jackson might be working behind youthful expertise and with a brand new operating again in Derrick Henry. Henry ought to assist with ball management however it could take a while for the offense to gel utterly.

The Ravens’ means to restrict large performs and drive brief passes, coupled with the Chiefs’ move rush probably exploiting Baltimore’s inexperienced offensive line, may hold the scoring in examine. These components, together with each groups present process offensive changes, level in the direction of the overall staying beneath 46.5 for this season opener. — Pamela Maldonado

Betting tendencies

Courtesy ESPN Stats & Data

• Lamar Jackson is 12-1-1 ATS in his profession as a daily season underdog, the most effective report of any quarterback within the Tremendous Bowl period (min. 5 begins). He’s 10-4 outright, the most effective report of any quarterback with at the least six begins as an underdog.

• Lamar Jackson is 25-11-2 ATS on the street in his profession within the common season.

• The Ravens are 12-4 ATS in Week 1 beneath John Harbaugh (7-1 ATS final 8 seasons), the second-best mark of any head coach within the Tremendous Bowl period with at the least ten video games (Tom Flores: 10-2). Jim Harbaugh is 4-0 ATS in Week 1, so the Harbaugh brothers are 16-4 ATS in Week 1 mixed.

• Reigning Tremendous Bowl champions are 0-3 ATS in Week 1 within the final three seasons with back-to-back outright losses. They had been 13-4-3 ATS within the earlier 20 seasons.

• The Ravens completed 13-4 final season. The final 13-win group to be at the least a 3-point underdog in Week 1 the next season was the 2013 Falcons (at Saints, +3.5 and misplaced by 6).

• The Ravens had been 11-6 ATS final season, masking video games by a mean of 8.2 factors per recreation. It was the 2nd-highest common cowl margin within the final decade, solely behind the 2019 Ravens (10.3 PPG).

• Unders had been 11-6 in Chiefs video games final season (13-8 together with playoffs).

• Prime-time unders are 70-42-1 during the last two seasons (35-23 final season).

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