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Ballot: Half of Gen Z voters assist Harris, one-third again Trump

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September 4, 2024

Half of Gen Z voters say they’ll vote for Vice President Kamala Harris in November, whereas one-third say they’ll vote for former President Donald Trump — an even bigger hole for the Democratic nominee than another polls this 12 months however not fairly at 2020 ranges for the get together, in line with a brand new survey of registered voters beneath 30.

The outcomes of the NBC News Stay Tuned Gen Z Pollpowered by SurveyMonkey, come as younger voters grapple with new financial and cultural challenges in 2024, together with rising prices and considerations about debt which are prompting delays to some vital life occasions.

One other 1 in 10 respondents to the ballot stated they won’t vote within the presidential election.

Harris is backed by 60% of younger voters who say they’re nearly sure that they are going to solid a poll within the presidential election. That determine pulls consistent with the 60% of 18- to 29-year-olds gained by Joe Biden within the 2020 election in opposition to Trump, in line with NBC News exit poll results.

MORE: Young voters harbor deep worries about inflation, debt, housing

It’s starkly totally different than Biden’s ends in some 2024 polls earlier than he dropped out of the race — and the brand new survey, which polled 2,617 respondents on-line, signifies some main the reason why. A complete of 73% of Gen Z voters stated they might assist setting a most age restrict for candidates to be eligible to run for president, whereas 27% stated they might oppose such a restrict.

Amongst those that stated they assist an age restrict for president, 54% stated the age restrict needs to be beneath 65 years outdated.

Now, in a Harris-Trump race, the gender hole amongst Gen Z voters is important. Younger ladies stated they’re going to vote for Harris for president by 30 factors. Younger males additionally stated they favor Harris — however by solely 4 factors over Trump.

There is no such thing as a important distinction between the 2 teams when it comes to their enthusiasm to vote; round 55% of each younger women and men say they’re “completely sure” that they are going to vote in November.

About 8 in 10 Gen Z voters who determine as Democrat or Republican say they’ll vote for his or her get together’s candidate in November. Help for the 2 candidates is evenly divided between Harris and Trump amongst independents, with each candidates profitable round 25% of younger voters.

Critically, a whopping 34% of younger independents who don’t lean towards both get together say they won’t vote within the presidential election.

Total, an amazing majority of the younger voters who responded (88%) stated they’re prone to vote within the presidential election, together with 55% who stated they’re nearly sure they’ll vote.

Harris receives sturdy assist from school graduates, besting Trump by 26 factors amongst this group (56% to 30%). Moreover, solely 5% of faculty graduates say they gained’t vote for president in November. Harris additionally does equally effectively amongst at the moment enrolled school college students, main Trump by 25 factors (54% to 29%).

Help between the 2 candidates is tied at 41% amongst younger voters with out a school diploma who are usually not at the moment enrolled in class.

How Gen Z does politics

Three-quarters have participated within the political course of in ways in which aren’t instantly associated to campaigns or elections over the past 12 months, whereas 1 / 4 haven’t engaged within the political course of in any means. Among the many methods Gen Z participates within the political course of: unfollowing celebrities or political figures on social media (37%), signing a petition (34%), boycotting a product or firm (32%), sharing political beliefs or information articles on social media (31%), and unfollowing buddies or household on social media (29%).

As many as 54% of Gen Z voters who stated they participated within the political course of are voting for Harris, in comparison with 33% for Trump.

Just below 7 in 10 Gen Z voters stated the nation is able to elect a feminine president, the ballot discovered, together with 38% who stated the nation is unquestionably prepared. And three in 10 respondents stated the nation isn’t prepared for a lady president.

Seven in 10 voters who stated they’re positively able to elect a girl as president are supporting Harris, and the identical share of voters who stated they’re positively not prepared are supporting Trump.

In the case of the candidates’ working mates, Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz is the clear favourite amongst younger voters. Three in 10 voters rated Harris’ selection of Walz as “wonderful,” whereas an equivalent share charge Trump’s selection of Ohio Sen. JD Vance as “poor.”

Total, 56% of Gen Z voters felt positively about Harris’ VP selection, versus solely 33% who had a sunny outlook about Trump’s decide. One other 20% of younger voters don’t have any opinion on both Walz or Vance.

Newly eligible voters assist Harris

Voters beneath 30 who didn’t vote within the 2020 presidential election as a result of they weren’t but eligible are planning to vote for Harris over Trump by 26-points (57% to 31% respectively).

Amongst those that had been eligible however didn’t vote in 2020, it’s a toss-up: 30% stated they assist Harris and 27% Trump, effectively throughout the ballot’ s margin of error. Of this group, 36% say they won’t vote in November.

Three-quarters of Biden 2020 voters stated they’ll assist Harris and 14% stated they’ll vote Trump this time round. Equally, 73% of Trump 2020 voters stated they’re going to vote for him once more however 23% of 2020 Trump voters stated they’re planning to vote for Harris in November.

This NBC Information Keep Tuned Gen Z ballot was powered by SurveyMonkey, the quick, intuitive suggestions administration platform the place 20 million questions are answered day by day. It was performed on-line Aug. 23-30 amongst a nationwide pattern of two,617 registered voters 18-29 years outdated. The information was weighted to inhabitants totals amongst 18-29-year-olds for intercourse, race, census area (all from the American Neighborhood Survey), and partisanship (from the Cooperative Election Examine). The estimated margin of error for this survey is plus or minus 3.1 share factors. Sampling error related to subgroup outcomes is greater.

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