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Wales outcomes: Resurgent Labour wins Welsh seats again from Tories

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July 5, 2024

By Adrian BrownePolitical reporter, BBC Wales Information • Rowenna HoskinBBC Information

BBC Wales' First Minister Vaughan Gething with winning Labour candidates and supporters at the count in Cardiff BBC

Wales’ First Minister Vaughan Gething with profitable Labour candidates and supporters on the depend in Cardiff

Labour has received again a string of Welsh seats from the Conservatives, as Sir Keir Starmer’s landslide election victory was confirmed.

The Tories had been worn out in Wales, with Welsh Secretary David TC Davies shedding his seat, in addition to the three former Welsh secretaries, Alun Cairns, Stephen Crabb and Simon Hart.

One other ousted Tory was Craig Williams, former aide to Rishi Sunak, who had celebration help withdrawn after admitting betting on the date of the election.

On a triumphant night time for Labour, and a disastrous one for the Tories, Plaid Cymru celebrated profitable each its goal seats of Ynys Môn and Caerfyrddin from the Conservatives.

There was excellent news for the Liberal Democrats, who took again Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe seat from the Conservatives, eradicating Wales Workplace minister Fay Jones from parliament.

It means the Lib Dems have a Welsh MP for the primary time since 2019.

Labour completed on 27 seats, up 9 on 2019, Plaid on 4 and the Lib Dems one.

Labour received again Bridgend, Monmouthshire and Wrexham and likewise took the brand new seats of Bangor Aberconwy, Clwyd North, Clwyd East, Montgomeryshire and Glyndŵr and Mid and South Pembrokeshire from the Conservatives.

New Labour MP Steve Witherden celebrates with supporters after winning the Montgomeryshire and Glyndŵr seat

New Labour MP Steve Witherden celebrates with supporters after profitable the Montgomeryshire and Glyndŵr seat

Labour held Swansea West, with a win for brand new candidate and Starmer ally Torsten Bell, extensively seen as ripe for early promotion within the new authorities anticipated to take energy on Friday.

Labour retained Gower, Pontypridd, Torfaen, Caerphilly, Newport East, Aberfan Maesteg, Rhondda and Ogmore and Cardiff South and Penarth.

The celebration additionally stored management of Alyn and Deeside, Llanelli, Cardiff West, Cardiff East, Merthyr Tydfil and Aberdare and the Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney constituency.

Labour’s Kanishka Narayan grew to become the primary ethnic minority Welsh MP, within the Vale of Glamorgan.

The Tories had been decreased from 14 seats in Boris Johnson’s 2019 election victory to none beneath Rishi Sunak.

Labour, with the assistance of Plaid Cymru, noticed the Tories fall to zero seats in Wales on Friday for the primary time since 2001.

However Labour additionally noticed its vote share fall to 37%, from 40.9%.

They’ve been badly broken by the efficiency of Nigel Farage’s Reform UK, which cut up the right-wing vote and got here second in a sequence of seats.

Plaid Cymru vastly elevated its majority in Ceredigion Preseli and simply retained Dwyfor Meirionnydd, ending the night time on 4 seats.

Mr Davies, who had represented Monmouth since 2005 (now known as Monmouthshire after boundary modifications) , is the primary Welsh secretary to lose his seat whereas in workplace because the submit was created in 1964.

“I’ve had nice help from the native affiliation, however the reality is, folks wished a change,” he mentioned. “That is the best way it goes in democracy.”

Welsh Conservative Andrew RT Davies apologises

He urged Conservatives to “keep calm” and never blame one another for anticipated poor outcome.

Chief of the Welsh Conservatives Andrew RT Davies mentioned he was “bloody offended” following the outcome.

“We’ve got had a really, very bitter blow to us on the common election,” he mentioned.

He insisted voters had “warmed” to the work the Conservatives had been doing in Senedd and blamed his celebration’s defeat on the “nationwide messaging and nationwide image”.

When requested how she felt about changing into the brand new Welsh Secretary, Shadow Welsh Secretary Jo Stevens mentioned we “should not assume something till Keir Starmer turns into prime minister in the present day and begins to make his appointments”.

She mentioned the brand new Labour UK authorities would “work in partnership with the Welsh authorities”.

“Having two Labour governments, one at every finish of the M4, working in an environment of belief and respect and collaboration slightly than fixed frictions means that we are going to ship higher outcomes for Wales,” she mentioned.

BBC Radio Wales additionally requested her about calls to give Wales billions of pounds off the back of HS2, which is designated an England and Wales mission regardless of ending in Birmingham.

She responded: “I can not make unfunded spending commitments. I’d completely like to magic up billions or hundreds of thousands of kilos however it’s not possible and anybody suggesting in any other case is indulging in fantasy guarantees.”

Sir Robert Buckland, Welsh secretary beneath Boris Johnson and Liz Truss, grew to become the primary Conservative within the UK to lose his seat on the night time, ousted in Swindon South by Labour’s Heidi Alexander.

The Llanelli-born Tory changed Simon Hart within the Wales Workplace in 2022 in Mr Johnson’s authorities, and was stored within the submit by Ms Truss.

PA Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer, Vale of Glamorgan candidate Kanisha Narayan, First Minister of Wales Vaughan Gething and shadow Welsh Secretary Jo Stevens walking on Barry seafrontPA

“Keir appeared like he actually loved the marketing campaign,” says Labour’s Jo Stevens

Sir Robert mentioned UK politics was at a “crossroads”, and requested “can we worth those that work to carry folks collectively” or “shrug our shoulders and settle for that politics is a mere circus”.

He additionally criticised Rishi Sunak’s nationwide service coverage, which he mentioned was “completely over-sold” to attraction to “a extra populist base”.

“That’s a mistake, I’m fed up, the time has gone for reasonable populism”.

The previous Labour chief and ex-Islwyn MP Lord Kinnock instructed ITV Information the Labour landslide was “the best comeback since Lazarus”.

Blue general election 2024 banner

Tory Senedd group chief Andrew RT Davies mentioned he was “offended” concerning the celebration’s election marketing campaign.

“I’ve no phrases that may describe my frustration at some factors within the marketing campaign,” he told the BBC Wales results programme.

A few of his fury was directed at Rishi Sunak’s resolution to name the final election on 22 Could.

“Nobody actually understood why we had been sitting right here tonight as an alternative of the autumn.”

He mentioned that an autumn ballot would have been troublesome nonetheless, however the celebration wanted the “very best probability”.

“You may see my anger on the Welsh (Conservative) Occasion board assembly,” he mentioned, suggesting Tories had paid the value of “the shenanigans over the previous 5 years”.

Reform candidate for Montgomeryshire and Glyndŵr, Oliver Lewis, strongly criticised the media for reporting on the behaviour of what he known as “just a few deviant candidates” in his celebration.

Responding to questions on Nigel Farage’s views on Vladimir Putin and allegations of racist feedback by candidates, he mentioned folks “see via” the detrimental press “which establishments just like the BBC give us”.

The “overwhelming majority of our candidates are centrist and wise,” he mentioned.

He mentioned: “To return second place from a standing begin in 40 constituencies is completely terrific.”

“I’m ecstatic to have overwhelmed Craig Williams into second place and put the conservatives into third place.”

Wales had 40 MPs within the final parliament however that drops to 32 seats at this election, following a overview aimed toward equalising the scale of UK constituencies.

The Inexperienced celebration received 4 seats, and Anthony Slaughter, chief of the Wales Inexperienced Occasion and Inexperienced candidate for Cardiff South and Penarth, mentioned he “will get double figures subsequent time”.

He added that the celebration bought 15 second locations, one in every of which being Cardiff.

“The vote tonight has confirmed it, I am very very assured we are going to get voted inexperienced illustration within the Senedd.”

Ann Davies, the brand new Plaid Cymru MP for Caerfyrddin took the seat from Conservative chief whip Simon Hart – who completed third.

“I’m delighted past phrases that we’ve received this,” she instructed BBC Radio Wales.

“Each celebration has loads of work to do however this can be a improbable platform on which to construct.”

Jane Dodds, Welsh Liberal Democrats chief mentioned the celebration was “very very happy we’re again on the voters map” with David Chadwick’s win in Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe.

Wales noticed the most important fall in voter turnout in Britain – in contrast with Scotland and all English areas.

Solely Yorkshire and Humber (55.7%) had a decrease turnout.

The typical turnout in Wales was 56.2% – which was greater than 10% down on the final common election in December 2019.

All Welsh constituencies noticed a fall on the final election.

The best turnouts had been in Monmouthshire and Cardiff North, with greater than two thirds of voters turning out.

The bottom had been within the heads of the Valleys, in Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney – 42.7% – which additionally noticed the most important proportion fall on final time.

Subsequent lowest was in Merthyr Tydfil and Aberdare (47.3%).

Evaluation from BBC Wales political editor Gareth Lewis

Given what occurred 5 years in the past, what a narrative we now have right here in Wales.

Labour has received massive and the Conservatives have been worn out.

However beneath which might be so many subplots.

Labour’s achievements come regardless of a big drop of their share of the vote, and the bottom uncooked variety of votes because the Nineteen Thirties.

It’s one of many oddities of the primary previous the submit system which you could win by making an attempt to pay attention votes precisely the place you want them.

That relative lack of enthusiasm from voters is already inflicting some concern, jubilant temper however.

One of many Labour marketing campaign mantras has been that Wales will profit from two Labour governments working collectively.

Voters will wish to see that in motion. Shortly.

Former first minister Carwyn Jones instructed us within the small hours that his celebration wanted to hit the bottom working.

The drop in share means they’ll must “look beneath the bonnet” in line with one other former FM Mark Drakeford.

Seats on the 2026 Senedd election will probably be selected share – beneath proportional illustration – and Labour’s polling for that election isn’t wanting nice.

It’s an open query whether or not that’s all the way down to the unpopularity of some Welsh Labour Authorities insurance policies resembling 20mph or the difficulties of the present FM Vaughan Gething.

Different events are ready to pounce.

Plaid Cymru had a dream night time and the Lib Dems took their goal seat too.

Reform has emerged as an actual contender, coming second in 13 of the 32 seats and pushing Labour extremely shut in Llanelli.

The Conservatives had a shocker – Reform ate into their vote right here as throughout the UK – though they nearly held on in Ynys Mon and Brecon Radnor and Cwm Tawe.

They’re now seeking to rebuild, though there are already clear options that there will probably be a really “Welsh” theme to how that’s achieved right here versus what occurs in Westminster.

The dynamics in Wales have at all times been totally different as a result of we now have not one however two governments – each now Labour.

As soon as their celebrations die down we’ll see how that story will play out, and the way its consequence will have an effect on you.

Regardless of the massive win, with a low share and turnout typically low, voters appear like they nonetheless want some convincing.

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