Will Brinson's NFL Week 5 picks, finest bets: Revenge on the thoughts for Stefon Diggs, D.J. Moore, Garrett Wilson

The Davante Adams saga is fairly wild. Right here now we have a borderline Corridor of Fame broad receiver who requested to be traded out of Inexperienced Bay with the intention to facilitate becoming a member of his faculty buddy Derek Carr in Las Vegas. Then after Carr received let go, he realized he was caught in a foul spot and as soon as his coach preferred an Instagram publish suggesting he was going to be traded or might be traded or may wish to be traded or no matter, Adams immediately has an injured hamstring. And now, apparently, is definitely getting traded. 

Now by all accounts his hammy is definitely harm and groups who’re attempting to accumulate him know that. However including to the madness is Adams solely desirous to play for the Jets … or the Saints. He actually, actually loves Derek Carr! And Rodgers clearly. 

I believe Adams is an superior participant. No query about it. However I do surprise if he essentially places both the Jets or the Saints excessive of their quest for a Super Bowl. 

The Jets went out and received Mike Williams this offseason to be their No. 2 subsequent to Garrett Wilson. Allen Lazard was already there as nicely, as a result of he is mates with Rodgers. Adams is healthier than each guys, however there’s already a problem in getting the ball to a star broad receiver (Wilson) in New York proper now. Do we predict Adams is separating a lot at this stage of his profession that defenses will merely be unable to deal with Wilson and he’ll explode? Is the purpose of an Adams commerce to try to assist Wilson? Or so Adams can mild up defenses on his personal? The Jets have extra basic issues up entrance proper now. They cannot run the ball and Wilson hasn’t been a significant factor. 

You might say one thing comparable for the Saints as nicely. The have already got Chris Olave! Adams could be a enjoyable addition, I suppose, however with their offensive line accidents, there are different locations they might enhance their group first. 

Adams is a worthy gamble at an inexpensive price for a group struggling on offense and seeking to make a playoff surge, little doubt about it. However simply watch out what you anticipate to get out of him in 2024. This does not really feel like Randy Moss to the Patriots essentially. 

Greatest bets

Garrett Wilson over 53.5 receiving yards

This is not a “Revenge Sport” per se, however it’s nonetheless a spot for Wilson to flare up a little bit bit earlier than Adams possibly, presumably, really arrives. The Vikings are taking part in nice soccer however will blitz like loopy, which ought to induce some one-on-one matchups. Wilson’s been a little bit of a squeaky wheel early on within the season, getting loads of questions on his manufacturing amid Aaron Rodgers alleging defenses are specializing in Wilson. After which there’s this: Justin Jefferson was requested earlier this season about matching up in opposition to the 49ers after they shut down Wilson the week earlier than and quipped, “Respectfully, I’m not Garrett Wilson.” Jefferson lived as much as the burn, however you realize Wilson’s been eager about the road for a number of weeks now. 

Buccaneers vs. Falcons over 43.5

I wish to say Tampa is simply the higher group right here and can be capable to decelerate the Falcons, however the accidents to the Bucs on the backend goes to provide Kirk Cousins the power to maneuver the ball within the air. Likewise, I am not solely positive the Falcons decelerate the Bucs, with Baker Mayfield taking part in some nice soccer and actually slinging the rock in Liam Cohen’s offense. In-division, prime-time overs really feel scary, however I am not afraid of backing the Bucs to pile up factors and in the event that they do, then I believe the Falcons are pressured to throw as nicely and see see a little bit of a shootout on this one on a Thursday evening. 

Browns vs. Commanders over 43.5

Not stunning this line is so low, contemplating the Browns aren’t precisely a high-powered offense today. However these two groups may actually incite some sneaky scoring from one another on this recreation. Cleveland’s been passing at an insanely excessive clip relative to the remainder of the NFL, which is borderline stunning when you think about how dangerous Deshaun Watson has been this 12 months. And if there ever was a recreation to get proper for Watson, it is in opposition to this Commanders protection. They have been shredded by nearly everybody this 12 months, with Washington giving up 7.9 yards per go try and permitting the twenty fifth most factors per recreation this season (25.5). The Commanders are third when it comes to scoring per recreation, nonetheless, and Jayden Daniels is actually cooking his final two video games. Cleveland hasn’t scored in any respect this season however they’re probably not stopping folks from scoring both, rating simply seventeenth in factors allowed. I believe it is extraordinarily affordable for this recreation to be increased scoring than Vegas suggests. 

D.J. Moore over 53.5 receiving yards

Revenge is on the thoughts each week and the way may it not be for Moore in opposition to his outdated group the Panthers. He actually appears like he is in a greater scenario with Chicago than Carolina — I’d assume proper?? — however the Panthers tossed him in a commerce and despatched him packing so they might draft Bryce Young, who’s now on the bench. I am guessing Moore would love to indicate the Panthers they made a mistake and can get the possibility in what must be a reasonably high-scoring recreation. i like his receptions over at 4.5 as nicely and do not thoughts laddering his receiving yards … in case you assume the Panthers can sustain by scoring in opposition to the Bears protection. As a result of they will not be stopping anybody, most likely for the remainder of the 12 months. Carolina’s protection is ravaged with harm proper now and Moore ought to be capable to get what he desires right here, so long as Shane Waldron does not cap his motion inside the Bears formation. 

Bonus: The SportsLine Projection Mannequin has an A-graded decide on this matchup. Check it out here.

Stefon Diggs over 53.5 receiving yards

MORE REVENGE. Diggs has regarded fairly sharp on this Texans offense, however he is removed from the alpha. Nico Collins is that man catching passes from C.J. Stroud and can proceed to be. Which suggests the Bills, who traded away Diggs this offseason to the Texans, really should deal with a distinct receiver whereas a really revenge-minded receiver will get to deal with lighting up the group that is been not-so-subtly throwing shade at him since he left. Feedback from numerous members of the offense made it clear Buffalo likes its setup now greater than it did when it felt the necessity to forcefeed Diggs. The Texans have proven a willingness to feed into Diggs this season, getting him closely concerned in Week 1 (let the world know he is not toast!) and when he received 12 targets in opposition to one other outdated group of his within the Vikings. He isn’t going to jailbreak something large — and I would be excited by his anytime TD quantity at +150 as nicely — however he ought to see at six targets minimal, catch nearly all of them and cruise over this quantity. 

D’Andre Swift over 49.5 rush yards

The Panthers final two weeks have given the fanbase some aid on the subject of the offense trying mildly useful with Andy Dalton below middle. Carolina’s been in a position to transfer the ball fairly nicely and has scored precise touchdowns. That is thrilling information. Much less thrilling is the efficiency by the protection. The Panthers gave up six yards per play to the Bengals final week and 5.6 YPP to the Raiders within the dominant Week 3 win. Everyone seems to be harm for Carolina they usually merely cannot cease opposing groups from transferring the ball. Zach Moss ran with ease in opposition to the Carolina entrance and I anticipate extra of the identical from Chicago on offense. As a result of D’Andre Swift was relegated to also-ran standing earlier than Week 4’s breakout efficiency, his prop numbers are nonetheless down, however he received 16 carries in Chicago’s win, regarded good working the ball and now simply must clear 50 dashing yards in opposition to a sieve of a protection. I do not assume Carolina will get some large lead and pressure Caleb Williams into throwing the ball. If that is a priority, it is advantageous to attend for a dashing/receiving yards prop to pop open — Swift caught all seven of his targets final week en path to a 100+ yard day.