![[original_title]](https://rawnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/1727449034_i-1024x576.jpeg)
The Week 4 NFL schedule for the 2024 season is stacked with nice matchups, and we bought you coated with what you could know heading into the weekend.
Our NFL Nation reporters carry us the largest keys to each sport, and analytics author Seth Walder makes a daring prediction for every matchup. The ESPN Analysis crew supplies an enormous stat to know and a betting nugget for every contest, whereas our Football Power Index (FPI) goes contained in the numbers with a sport projection. Fantasy analyst Eric Moody finds fantasy football X elements, and three analysts — Kalyn Kahler, Moody and Walder — give us ultimate rating picks for each sport. All the things you wish to know is right here in a single spot that will help you prepare for a loaded weekend of NFL football.
Let’s get into the complete Week 4 slate, together with the red-hot Vikings visiting the Packers and Lamar Jackson and the Ravens internet hosting Josh Allen and the Payments. All of it culminates with a pair of “Monday Night time Soccer” matchups — the Titans go to the Dolphins (7:30 p.m. ET) on ESPN and the Lions host the Seahawks (8:15 p.m. ET) on ABC/ESPN+. (Recreation instances are Sunday until in any other case famous.)
Bounce to a matchup:
NO-ATL | LAR-CHI | MIN-GB
PIT-IND | DEN-NYJ | PHI-TB
CIN-CAR | JAX-HOU | WSH-ARI
NE-SF | CLE-LV | KC-LAC
BUF-BAL | TEN-MIA | SEA-DET
Thursday: DAL-NYG
1 p.m. ET | Fox | ESPN BET: ATL -2.5 (42.5 O/U)
Saints storyline to observe: The Saints are lacking Professional Bowl middle Erik McCoy (groin) for not less than a month after he was positioned on IR this week. Operating again Alvin Kamara can also be banged up (hips/ribs), and Cesar Ruiz is coping with a knee harm. The Saints must get their run sport going once more after their worst offensive output of the season against the Eagles final week, however they will must do it with a bunch of accidents on the offensive aspect. — Katherine Terrell
Falcons storyline to observe: Can the Falcons’ operating sport get again on observe after Bijan Robinson mustered just one.9 yards per carry towards the Chiefs in Week 3? For the reason that starting of 2023, Robinson has amassed 950 yards on runs exterior the tackles, second solely to Christian McCaffrey (1,018), per NFL Subsequent Gen Stats. However the Saints have been robust in that division, permitting solely 142 yards on rushes exterior the tackles this season, the ninth-lowest whole within the league. — Marc Raimondi
Stat to know: The Falcons have six third-down conversions this season, which is the fewest within the NFL. Their 22% third-down conversion fee is the fourth worst within the league.
Daring prediction: Falcons linebacker Kaden Elliss will lead the league in mixed tackles in Week 4. The Saints are essentially the most run-heavy crew within the league, and my tackles mannequin provides him the third-highest projection of any participant this week. — Walder
Fantasy X issue: Falcons tight finish Kyle Pitts. The tight finish place in fantasy has been as barren as an apocalyptic wasteland this season. Pitts has simply eight receptions and 24.6 fantasy factors up to now, however he may very well be in for a breakout towards the Saints. Final week, New Orleans gave up 10 receptions and 27 fantasy factors to tight finish Dallas Goedert. Thus far, the Saints have allowed the fifth-most fantasy factors per sport to tight ends. See Week 4 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: That is the primary time the Falcons are favored over the Saints since Week 3 of 2018. The Saints have been favored in 11 straight conferences. Read more.
Kahler’s decide: Falcons 22, Saints 21
Moody’s decide: Falcons 27, Saints 21
Walder’s decide: Saints 29, Falcons 20
FPI prediction: NO, 51.1% (by a mean of 0.4 factors)
Matchup must-reads: ‘We’ll learn from it’: How Saints plan to bounce back after loss vs. Eagles … Coach: Saints aren’t dirty despite Eagles’ claims
1 p.m. ET | Fox | ESPN BET: CHI -3 (41.5 O/U)
Rams storyline to observe: Rams QB Matthew Stafford wants 223 passing yards to cross Eli Manning’s 57,023 mark for the tenth most in NFL historical past. In his profession, he has averaged 274.3 passing yards per sport towards Chicago, essentially the most by a quarterback with 10 video games performed towards a crew all time, in response to ESPN Analysis. Stafford might need his work lower out, although, as it is the second week in a row the Rams will not have star receivers Puka Nacua (knee) or Cooper Kupp (ankle). — Sarah Barshop
Bears storyline to observe: Bears WR Keenan Allen returned to follow for the primary time in two weeks whereas recovering from a heel injury. Allen aggravated a preexisting harm throughout his Bears debut in Week 1 (11 targets, 4 catches, 29 yards versus Tennessee) and will present an essential layer to the passing offense towards the Rams. “It is going to be nice for our offense,” quarterback Caleb Williams stated. “It is simply one thing else that the protection has to fret about all through this week after which clearly on sport day … His particular expertise of getting open in a telephone sales space goes to be nice for us.” — Courtney Cronin
Stat to know: Rams operating again Kyren Williams has had six straight video games with a speeding TD relationship again to final season, which is tied for the third-longest streak in franchise historical past.
Daring prediction: Bears defensive sort out Andrew Billings will report not less than half a sack for the primary time since 2022. Billings is quietly off to a pleasant begin speeding the passer, with a 21% cross rush win fee at defensive sort out (fourth greatest on the place). He has by no means cracked double digits in a season! — Walder
Fantasy X issue: Bears large receiver DJ Moore. He had a season-high 8 receptions, 78 yards and 15.2 fantasy factors in Week 3. Moore leads the crew in routes run and will keep busy towards a Rams protection that is allowed the second-most fantasy factors to large receivers. See Week 4 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Rams are 4-10-1 towards the unfold as highway underdogs since 2022. Read more.
Kahler’s decide: Rams 24, Bears 17
Moody’s decide: Rams 31, Bears 19
Walder’s decide: Bears 23, Rams 20
FPI prediction: CHI, 49.9% (by a mean of 0.3 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Williams’ mom helped him achieve his NFL dream … How a failed goal-line series reflects the Bears’ struggles
0:48
The numbers to know behind Kyren William’s Week 3 fantasy efficiency
Try some key stats and figures from Kyren Williams’ sport in Week 3 vs. the Bears.
1 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: GB -2.5 (43.5 O/U)
Vikings storyline to observe: The Vikings have taken 5 offensive snaps this season whereas trailing, by far the bottom whole within the NFL. (The common is 88.) That has absolutely helped QB Sam Darnold‘s transition again into the beginning lineup. The following step might come as quickly as Sunday. How will the Vikings play if they’re behind for an prolonged interval of a sport? Have they got what it takes to make up a deficit, particularly in a rivalry highway sport? — Kevin Seifert
Packers storyline to observe: Whereas the Vikings lead the NFL with 16 sacks, they may wish to assume twice about blitzing if Packers QB Jordan Love (knee) performs. Minnesota blitzed Love on 58% of his dropbacks the final time the 2 groups performed (Week 17 of last season), the best fee he has ever been blitzed. Love posted the fifth-best Whole QBR (83) in any begin throughout his profession. — Rob Demovsky
Stat to know: The Vikings received at Inexperienced Bay in Week 8 final season. They have not received consecutive highway video games at Lambeau Discipline since successful three straight from 1991 to 1993.
Daring prediction: Packers large receiver Jayden Reed scores a landing. Vikings cornerback Byron Murphy Jr. is off to a tough begin, permitting 2.2 yards per protection snap, per NFL Subsequent Gen Stats. That is nearly a full yard above the typical for the place. Though Murphy strains up throughout, he does spend time within the slot, which suggests he’ll absolutely have some snaps marking Reed. — Walder
Fantasy X issue: Vikings operating again Aaron Jones. He began his skilled profession with the Packers however left this offseason after Inexperienced Bay requested him to take a pay cut. So sure, I am shopping for into the revenge sport narrative. Jones has been phenomenal for a Vikings offense that ranks fourth in factors per sport (26). Additionally, the Packers’ protection is struggling, sitting at twenty fifth in run cease win fee (29.1%). Jones has had 16 or extra touches and 19 or extra fantasy factors in two of three video games. See Week 4 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Vikings are 8-2 ATS on the highway for the reason that begin of final season (9-2 ATS in previous 11 highway video games). Read more.
Kahler’s decide: Vikings 30, Packers 24
Moody’s decide: Packers 27, Vikings 26
Walder’s decide: Packers 27, Vikings 24
FPI prediction: GB, 55.5% (by a mean of two.4 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Jones eyes Lambeau Leap in first visit vs. Packers … Packers’ defense breaking out behind McKinney’s 3 INTs
1 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: PIT -2 (40.5 O/U)
Steelers storyline to observe: By means of three weeks, the Colts have solely two extra whole speeding yards than the Steelers, however Indy’s run sport has been way more environment friendly. Led by operating again Jonathan Taylor, the Colts are averaging 5.4 yards per rush and have scored 5 speeding touchdowns. The Steelers, in the meantime, are ranked second with 108 rush makes an attempt however are averaging solely 3.6 yards per carry. After neutralizing J.K. Dobbins and the Chargers in Week 3, the Steelers’ run protection will probably be tasked with slowing down one other formidable assault. Pittsburgh might additionally probably be with out RB Jaylen Warren, who’s coping with a knee harm. — Brooke Pryor
Colts storyline to observe: Steelers edge rusher T.J. Watt has had a constant impression in video games he has performed towards the Colts. In 5 profession conferences with Indianapolis, Watt has produced 5.5 sacks, 4 tackles for loss, 15 tackles and a couple of compelled fumbles. Of their final assembly (Week 15 of last season), Watt notched a pair of sacks and two tackles for loss. In the meantime, the Colts’ offensive line is off to a formidable begin, presently ranked sixth in cross block win fee (65.5%). Indianapolis has allowed simply 4 sacks, tied for third greatest. — Stephen Holder
Stat to know: Watt presently has 99.5 sacks in 107 profession video games. If he information one other half sack inside his subsequent 5 video games, he would be the second-fastest participant to achieve 100 profession sacks for the reason that stat turned official in 1982. Corridor of Famer Reggie White reached the milestone in 96 video games.
Daring prediction: Colts large receiver Michael Pittman Jr. will report greater than 90 receiving yards. I predicted a model of this final week and it fell flat, however I am coming again as a result of the numbers are too compelling. Pittman Jr. has transformed simply 23% of his focused air yards into accomplished air yards, fifth lowest for a receiver with not less than 45 routes this season. He is not that man, so we should always count on constructive regression. — Walder
Fantasy X issue: Steelers quarterback Justin Fields. He put up a season-high 18.4 fantasy factors towards the Chargers on Sunday. Since coming into the league in 2021, he has 11 video games with each a passing and speeding landing, rating third behind Josh Allen (21) and Jalen Hurts (17). Fields ought to discover success towards a Colts crew that has allowed a mean of 16.3 fantasy factors per sport to quarterbacks. Additionally, Indianapolis has given up the second-most speeding yards per sport to opponents (179). See Week 4 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: Since 2018, the Colts are 6-10 ATS as residence underdogs (1-8 ATS as residence underdogs of three factors or much less). Read more.
Kahler’s decide: Colts 20, Steelers 10
Moody’s decide: Steelers 27, Colts 17
Walder’s decide: Colts 24, Steelers 19
FPI prediction: PIT, 53.1% (by a mean of 1.6 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Next man up: Herbig coming up clutch … Colts QB Richardson struggling for accuracy
1 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: NYJ -7.5 (39.5 O/U)
Broncos storyline to observe: When opposing defenses persistently stress QB Bo Nix, he has been erratic — throwing two interceptions in every of Denver’s two losses. However when largely unencumbered, as he was on this previous Sunday’s win against Tampa Bay, Nix accomplished 69% of his throws with no sacks and no turnovers. The Jets sack quarterbacks on a league-high 16.8% of cross makes an attempt and do it largely with four-man pressures. Which means Nix will possible must decode crowded protection whereas underneath duress. How Nix fares with that can have so much to say about whether or not Denver’s uptick on offense in Tampa was a one-week respite or an indication of higher issues to come back. — Jeff Legwold
Jets storyline to observe: The Aaron Rodgers-led offense is way improved from final season despite the fact that WR Garrett Wilson (15 catches, 150 yards, 1 TD) has been comparatively quiet. Every week, Wilson attracts the opponent’s prime cornerback, with security assist excessive. The Jets totally count on the Broncos to make use of star nook Pat Surtain II on Wilson for a majority of the snaps. After they confronted one another final season, Surtain was the closest defender on Wilson on 20 of 29 cross routes, per NFL Subsequent Gen Stats. Wilson was held to 1 catch for 12 yards on these performs. If groups wish to concentrate on Wilson, Rodgers can depend on others akin to tight finish Tyler Conklin. — Wealthy Cimini
Stat to know: Nix has two speeding touchdowns and no passing TDs, making him the one beginning QB this season with a number of speeding scores and nil passing scores by means of the primary three video games.
Daring prediction: Jets proper sort out Olu Fashanu will report a cross block win fee underneath 80% in his beginning debut rather than the injured Morgan Moses (knee). Most rookie tackles, even first-rounders like Fashanu, battle their first season. Fashanu can also be squaring up towards LB Jonathon Cooper, who’s off to a pleasant begin with a 21% cross rush win fee at edge (14th greatest). — Walder
Fantasy X issue: Conklin. The Jets tight finish had a career-high 93 yards and scored 14.3 fantasy factors in Week 3. He is in an excellent spot to repeat that versus the Broncos. Why? The Broncos’ protection shut down Bucs WR Mike Evans in Week 3, and Wilson will get comparable consideration. That leaves extra alternatives for Conklin, who has run the third-most routes on the crew. In regular-season video games the place he has had not less than six targets, Conklin has averaged 14.0 fantasy factors. See Week 4 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Broncos are 3-4 outright when getting not less than 5 factors underneath coach Sean Payton (4-3 ATS). Read more.
Kahler’s decide: Jets 21, Broncos 16
Moody’s decide: Jets 24, Broncos 16
Walder’s decide: Jets 23, Broncos 16
FPI prediction: NYJ, 69.9% (by a mean of 8.4 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Badie emerges to boost struggling Broncos rushing attack … The Killer B’s: How the Jets’ RB duo is balancing offense … How Broncos’ pass rush has emerged … Rodgers: Jets need to prove they can handle prosperity
1 p.m. ET | Fox | ESPN BET: PHI -2 (42.5 O/U)
Eagles storyline to observe: Quarterback Jalen Hurts is posting among the greatest passing numbers of his profession early within the season. He has accomplished 70.6% of his throws — nicely above his profession common of 63.8%. He’s fourth in passing yards (772), first in lowest off-target share (6.5%) and has a QBR of 60.9. The one subject is turnovers: He’s tied for the second-most giveaways within the NFL by means of three weeks with six. With receivers A.J. Brown (hamstring) and DeVonta Smith (concussion) each coping with accidents, it is crucial that Hurts performs clear soccer towards the Bucs. — Tim McManus
Buccaneers storyline to observe: A 26-7 pummeling by the Broncos thwarted the Bucs’ hopes of a 3-0 begin, and now the Eagles are hoping to enact the identical sort of postseason revenge that the Bucs bought on the Lions two weeks in the past. The excellent news for Tampa Bay is that it’d get again some key gamers, as proper sort out Luke Goedeke (concussion) and defensive sort out Vita Vea (knee) practiced this week. Thus far this season, the Bucs have mustered solely a league-low two quarterback sacks, they usually surrendered 12.0 sacks over the previous two weeks. The Bucs must regain management of the trenches as they enter their most difficult stretch of the season. — Jenna Laine
Stat to know: Bucs receiver Chris Godwin has recorded a receiving landing in every of first three video games of this season; he’s searching for to affix Mike Evans (2020) as the one Buccaneers gamers with a landing reception within the crew’s first 4 video games of a season.
Daring prediction: Eagles operating again Saquon Barkley has his third 100-plus-yard speeding sport in 4 tries. The Bucs rank twenty eighth in EPA per play, and with Brown, Smith and Lane Johnson (concussion) all probably lacking the sport, Philadelphia goes to have to search out one other method to transfer the ball. — Walder
Accidents: Eagles | Buccaneers
Fantasy X issue: Buccaneers large receiver Godwin. He has seen eight or extra targets and scored not less than 17.3 fantasy factors in three straight video games, working largely from the slot. He confronted the Commanders and Lions in Week 1 and Week 2, respectively, who each battle towards slot receivers. Godwin then capitalized in Week 3 towards a Broncos secondary targeted on Evans. Now in Week 4, he is up towards an Eagles protection that has allowed the fourth-most fantasy factors to large receivers. See Week 4 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Eagles have coated eight straight video games when the road is between plus-3 and minus-3. Read more.
Kahler’s decide: Eagles 28, Buccaneers 21
Moody’s decide: Eagles 34, Buccaneers 24
Walder’s decide: Eagles 20, Buccaneers 17
FPI prediction: PHI, 61.2% (by a mean of 4.2 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Hurts hopes to buck his trend of poor performance vs. Tampa … How the Bucs rebound after ‘complete team collapse’ in Week 3
2:21
Stephen A. turns the warmth off Sirianni and on to Eagles gamers
Stephen A. Smith says Jalen Hurts and the remainder of the Eagles gamers should be criticized greater than Nick Sirianni.
1 p.m. ET | Fox | ESPN BET: CIN -4.5 (46.5 O/U)
Bengals storyline to observe: This will probably be QB Andy Dalton‘s fourth sport towards the Bengals, whom he performed for from 2011 to 2019. Bengals defensive coordinator Lou Anarumo has performed a mix of zone and man protection towards him within the earlier conferences, and Dalton’s QBR is considerably worse when Cincinnati is in zone protection (31). Last week, nonetheless, Washington’s Jayden Daniels feasted on Cincinnati’s zone with a 95.8 QBR, the second-best mark towards the Bengals since 2020. — Ben Child
Panthers storyline to observe: Dalton was stellar final week with three landing passes and 319 yards passing in his first begin of the season, giving life to what had been a dull offense with Bryce Young underneath middle. However current historical past doesn’t mean that he’ll put up massive numbers this week. 13 QBs who did not start the 2023 season because the starter received their first begin final season. Of these, solely 10 bought a second begin, they usually have been 1-9 of their second sport. — David Newton
Stat to know: Even with a 36-22 win in Week 3, the Panthers’ minus-46 level differential is the worst within the NFL this season.
Daring prediction: The Bengals will put up 34-plus factors. Offense has not been Cincinnati’s subject — the crew ranks seventh in EPA per play on that aspect of the ball — and it’s going towards a weak Carolina protection. I believe numerous factors will probably be scored, however the Bengals will draw back and win simply. — Walder
Fantasy X issue: Panthers operating again Chuba Hubbard. Dalton revitalized the offense towards the Raiders, and his presence positively helped Hubbard, who racked up 27.9 fantasy factors with 26 touches. Hubbard additionally proved he generally is a menace as a receiver out of the backfield. The Bengals struggled defensively towards the Commanders on Monday night time, giving up 356 yards and 38 factors. See Week 4 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Bengals are the third crew for the reason that 1970 merger to lose as not less than 7.5-point favorites twice within the first three weeks (2012 Saints, 1978 Patriots). Read more.
Kahler’s decide: Panthers 28, Bengals 24
Moody’s decide: Bengals 31, Panthers 24
Walder’s decide: Bengals 37, Panthers 20
FPI prediction: CIN, 64.9% (by a mean of 6.0 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Burrow looks to lead 0-3 Bengals more with his voice … Benched before, Dalton relates to Young … Strong ‘vet presence’ pays off for Dalton with big day in Panthers’ win
1 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: HOU -6 (45.5 O/U)
Jaguars storyline to observe: The Jaguars are the one crew that has but to drive a turnover. That is the longest the crew has gone to start a season with out forcing not less than one. “It is a level of emphasis each single week, each single day,” defensive coordinator Ryan Nielsen stated. “… We’re simply staying constructive with it. We would like to have about eight or 9 a sport. However let’s get one and go from there.” — Mike DiRocco
Texans storyline to observe: Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence has misplaced eight straight begins, however his final win was towards the Texans in Week 12 of 2023 when he threw for 364 yards. In Lawrence’s profession, he is 2-1 on the highway towards the Texans, averaging 282 yards per sport, however he has a 4-to-5 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Though the Jaguars are winless to begin 2024, Texans coach DeMeco Ryans stated Jacksonville’s offense “could be explosive” due to Lawrence’s means of “discovering a method to get that ball out shortly.” — DJ Bien-Aime
Stat to know: Lawrence is the second QB picked No. 1 total within the widespread draft period (since 1967) to have a number of eight-game shedding streaks in his profession, becoming a member of Jim Plunkett.
Daring prediction: Texans cornerback Kamari Lassiter will permit underneath 25 passing yards. The second-round rookie is off to a scorching begin to his profession, having allowed 0.7 yards per protection snap, per NFL Subsequent Gen Stats. He now faces a struggling Jaguars offense. — Walder
Fantasy X issue: Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud. The Texans bought a wake-up name in Week 3 towards the Vikings, however they will be wanting to bounce again towards the Jaguars. Jacksonville has given up the second-most fantasy factors per sport to quarterbacks. With RB Joe Mixon banged up, Houston ought to lean closely on Stroud and WRs Nico Collins, Stefon Diggs and Tank Dell. Final season, Stroud averaged 292 passing yards with 4 touchdowns and no interceptions towards the Jaguars. See Week 4 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Texans are 6-1 outright and 5-2 ATS after a loss underneath Ryans. They’re 9-2 ATS of their previous 11 video games following a loss. Read more.
Kahler’s decide: Texans 28, Jaguars 20
Moody’s decide: Texans 28, Jaguars 17
Walder’s decide: Texans 24, Jaguars 17
FPI prediction: HOU, 61.0% (by a mean of 4.3 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Why hasn’t Lawrence lived up to the hype? … Texans know they must protect Stroud to be successful … Pederson noncommittal on Lawrence after loss
4:05 p.m. ET | Fox | ESPN BET: ARI -3.5 (50.5 O/U)
Commanders storyline to observe: Washington’s 2-1 begin could be attributed to its offense and the explosiveness added with Jayden Daniels. The Commanders have scored factors on 14 consecutive possessions, excluding two kneel-down conditions. However for the crew to maintain successful, its cross protection should enhance. Washington has allowed an NFL-worst 9 passing touchdowns to large receivers and ranks thirty first in passing yards allowed. The Commanders additionally rank thirtieth in sacks per dropback (3.8%); the shortage of constant stress and protection points have mixed for a sluggish defensive begin. — John Keim
Cardinals storyline to observe: He will not admit it, however this can be a sport QB Kyler Murray desires to win — badly. Throughout the sphere from Murray will probably be former Cardinals coach Kliff Kingsbury, who coached Murray for the primary 4 years of his NFL profession. The 2 had a tenuous relationship within the ultimate yr of Kingsbury’s tenure, so successful and showcasing what he can do nicely — staying within the pocket and throwing the ball all around the area — will probably be Murray’s manner of exhibiting Kingsbury what he is lacking. — Josh Weinfuss
Stat to know: The Commanders are the third crew within the Tremendous Bowl period to have back-to-back video games with no punt together with the 2021 Payments and 2004 Steelers (none has accomplished so in three straight).
Daring prediction: Cardinals large receiver Michael Wilson will report 80-plus receiving yards. Nook Benjamin St-Juste has allowed over 200 yards and three touchdowns as the closest defender this season, per NFL Subsequent Gen Stats. And Wilson most frequently strains up on the offense’s left, so he’ll almost definitely face St-Juste, who most frequently strains up reverse that aspect. — Walder
Accidents: Commanders | Cardinals
Fantasy X issue: Cardinals large receiver Marvin Harrison Jr. He has been on fireplace, recording eight or extra targets and 17 or extra fantasy factors in consecutive video games. The Cardinals-Commanders matchup additionally has one of many highest level totals for Week 4. With Murray underneath middle, Harrison ought to see loads of targets. Additionally, no crew provides up extra fantasy factors to large receivers than the Commanders. See Week 4 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Commanders are 2-6 ATS of their previous seven video games as underdogs. Read more.
Kahler’s decide: Cardinals 33, Commanders 28
Moody’s decide: Cardinals 31, Commanders 25
Walder’s decide: Cardinals 27, Commanders 23
FPI prediction: ARI, 61.4% (by a mean of 4.2 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Quinn wants Daniels free from ‘ghosts’ after near-perfect performance
4:05 p.m. ET | Fox | ESPN BET: SF -10 (40.5 O/U)
Patriots storyline to observe: Operating again Rhamondre Stevenson has fumbled in every of the primary three video games, and coach Jerod Mayo acknowledged: “We’re all going to be targets till we are able to present that we are able to defend the ball.” The 49ers recovered a fumble in every of the primary two video games of the season earlier than their Week 3 loss to the Rams by which they did not drive a turnover. — Mike Reiss
49ers storyline to observe: Each groups wish to keep away from having a shedding report by means of the primary 4 weeks, although it could be nothing new for the Patriots and jarring for the 49ers. New England has had a shedding report by means of 4 video games in every of the earlier three seasons after that occurred simply twice within the earlier 24 seasons. The Niners, in the meantime, haven’t been underneath .500 by means of the primary 4 since 2018. — Nick Wagoner
Stat to know: The Patriots have allowed 10 sacks of their previous two video games (each losses) after permitting one sack in season-opening win towards the Bengals.
Daring prediction: 49ers large receiver Brandon Aiyuk lastly has that massive sport with 80-plus receiving yards and a landing. The targets ramped up final week — to 10 — and I believe the manufacturing will observe now. It has to occur quickly … proper? — Walder
Fantasy X issue: 49ers operating again Jordan Mason. QB Brock Purdy is coping with some again soreness, however he is unlikely to overlook Sunday’s sport. San Francisco can be good to lean on Mason and its offensive line. New England allowed 28.0 fantasy factors to Breece Hall and Braelon Allen in Week 3. Mason, who had a season-high 29 touches and 22.2 fantasy factors in Week 1, might replicate that efficiency Sunday. See Week 4 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: That is the primary double-digit unfold of the season. That is the primary season within the Tremendous Bowl period that no crew was favored by double digits within the first three weeks. Read more.
Kahler’s decide: 49ers 28, Patriots 12
Moody’s decide: 49ers 31, Patriots 13
Walder’s decide: 49ers 34, Patriots 9
FPI prediction: SF, 77.2% (by a mean of 11.8 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Was Jets game a sign of things to come for the Patriots? … Is there a new Patriot Way? How Mayo approaches coaching … How Bosa and the 49ers’ defense will adjust without Hargrave
0:33
Why Tyler Fulghum has confidence in 49ers’ protection
Tyler Fulghum explains why he expects the 49ers’ protection to step up vs. the Patriots at residence.
4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: LV -2 (36.5 O/U)
Browns storyline to observe: The Browns’ offensive line reached disaster mode in Week 3, shedding three starters — proper guard Wyatt Teller (knee), left sort out Jedrick Wills Jr. (knee) and proper sort out James Hudson III (shoulder). Teller was positioned on injured reserve, and there is nonetheless uncertainty concerning which of the crew’s offensive tackles will probably be out there. The offensive line, which has allowed a league-high 16 sacks, can have its fingers full towards the Raiders, who rank third in cross rush win fee (55.2%). — Daniel Oyefusi
Raiders storyline to observe: Whereas the Raiders’ oft-opportunistic protection is tenuously held collectively by edge rusher Maxx Crosby‘s injured left ankle, the offense is a piece in progress. It has the league’s fourth-ranked passing assault (734 yards) however the worst floor sport (153 yards) within the NFL, averaging a paltry 2.8 yards per carry. That ought to name for a extra balanced assault towards Cleveland, proper? “Steadiness, schmalance. Steadiness is, in my view,” WR Davante Adams stated earlier than a prolonged pause. “It is essential to be an environment friendly soccer crew, it doesn’t matter what car you employ to manage your offense.” — Paul Gutierrez
Stat to know: Browns quarterback Deshaun Watson has posted the worst Whole QBR amongst 29 quarterbacks to begin all three video games (23).
Daring prediction: Raiders large receiver Tre Tucker will catch a 35-yard-plus cross. No crew runs much less two-high protection than the Browns, and that ought to give Tucker, who runs a excessive fee of deep fades and go routes, some one-on-one alternatives. The Raiders want to attach on only one to probably change the sport. — Walder
Fantasy X issue: Raiders large receiver Adams. He has averaged 9.0 targets and 22.8 fantasy factors per sport this season and will keep busy towards Cleveland’s secondary. Rookie Malik Nabers simply dropped 28.2 fantasy factors on the Browns in Week 2, and their protection ranks close to the underside of the league in two-high protection. That would set Adams up for some chunk performs. See Week 4 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: Overs are 8-1 in Browns highway video games for the reason that begin of final season (9-1 in previous 10). Read more.
Kahler’s decide: Raiders 17, Browns 16
Moody’s decide: Browns 19, Raiders 17
Walder’s decide: Browns 14, Raiders 13
FPI prediction: CLE, 51.0% (by a mean of 0.3 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Why Browns’ revamped offense has been one of the NFL’s worst … Raiders trying to manage Crosby’s ankle sprain … Watson on wanting more designed QB runs: I’m not a running back
4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: KC -7 (39.5 O/U)
Chiefs storyline to observe: Anticipate this sport to come back right down to the top. Of the previous 5 Chiefs-Chargers matchups, solely as soon as was the ultimate margin greater than six factors. These days, the Chiefs have been enjoying shut video games towards opponents. Kansas Metropolis’s previous six video games, relationship again to final season’s playoffs, have been determined by one rating, and three weren’t settled till the ultimate play. — Adam Teicher
Chargers storyline to observe: The Chiefs have dominated the Chargers lately, going 8-2 of their previous 10 matchups. The Chargers’ final win got here in January of 2021, when QB Justin Herbert threw for 302 yards and three touchdowns. However Herbert (ankle), proper sort out Joe Alt (MCL sprain), exterior linebacker Joey Bosa (hip) and Rashawn Slater (pectoral) are nursing accidents and may very well be out Sunday, so it is going to be an uphill battle for this crew to upset the Chiefs. — Kris Rhim
Stat to know: Chiefs large receiver Rashee Rice leads the NFL with 24 receptions, which is essentially the most by means of three video games in Chiefs historical past. He ranks second in receiving yards (288) behind Nico Collins (338).
Daring prediction: Chargers linebacker Denzel Perryman will rack up 12-plus mixed tackles. Perryman ranks second amongst linebackers in run cease win fee (50%), and I am not optimistic concerning the Chargers’ probabilities given Herbert’s questionable ankle well being. If the Chiefs get out to an enormous lead, there needs to be loads of sort out alternatives to go round. — Walder
Fantasy X issue: Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes. The Chiefs are up towards a Chargers protection that ranks fourth in run cease win fee (35.2%), so count on Kansas Metropolis to lean extra on the passing sport this Sunday. Surprisingly, Mahomes has averaged solely 14.8 fantasy factors per sport this season. Nevertheless, he has averaged 27.0 fantasy factors in his previous 5 matchups towards the Chargers. That is the type of Mahomes efficiency I count on to see this week. See Week 4 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Chargers have coated seven straight video games when getting not less than 6 factors (Herbert: 6-0 ATS). Read more.
Kahler’s decide: Chiefs 24, Chargers 21
Moody’s decide: Chiefs 24, Chargers 17
Walder’s decide: Chiefs 26, Chargers 13
FPI prediction: KC, 63.1% (by a mean of 5.1 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Mahomes, Reid defend Kelce’s slow start … Heinicke’s first Chargers start would be another unlikely moment for undrafted QB … Hunt to play six years after being cut
8:20 p.m. ET | NBC/Peacock | ESPN BET: BAL -2.5 (46.5 O/U)
Payments storyline to observe: The Payments will probably be with out center linebacker Terrel Bernard (pectoral) and nickel nook Taron Johnson (forearm) for a second straight sport, going through a troublesome check towards Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry, who’s coming off 151 speeding yards and two touchdowns versus the Cowboys. The Payments’ offense has assisted the protection previously two video games by getting out to leads early, which might assist Buffalo towards this speeding assault. There may be additionally a historical past of success for this protection towards Jackson, who has been restricted to 144.5 passing yards per sport in two begins towards Buffalo. — Alaina Getzenberg
Ravens storyline to observe: The Ravens and the NFL’s worst cross protection look to decelerate Josh Allen, whose 92.6 QBR is the best by means of three video games by any participant for the reason that ESPN started monitoring it in 2006. Baltimore has surprisingly struggled towards the cross, permitting 875 yards by means of the air — together with a league-worst 363 yards passing within the fourth quarter. It has been a tough begin for first-year defensive coordinator Zach Orr. If the Ravens permit 25 or extra factors for the fourth straight sport, it’s going to tie the longest streak in franchise historical past. — Jamison Hensley
Stat to know: Allen is tied with Steve Younger for essentially the most video games (4) with a number of speeding and passing touchdowns. Jackson holds the report for essentially the most video games with 100 speeding yards and two passing touchdowns (5) in NFL historical past.
Daring prediction: Payments cornerback Christian Benford will permit underneath 30 passing yards. Benford is off to an excellent begin to the yr, permitting simply 0.4 yards per protection snap — the second least by an outdoor nook with not less than 50 protection snaps — together with a decide. He’ll current a difficulty for Zay Flowers and the Ravens receivers. — Walder
Fantasy X issue: Payments large receiver Khalil Shakir. He has been a shock this season. As a substitute of rookie Keon Coleman or veteran Curtis Samuel, Shakir has emerged because the Payments’ prime receiver. He leads Buffalo in targets (14), catches (14), yards (168) and touchdowns (2). Up subsequent, he faces a Ravens secondary that has allowed the fifth-most receiving yards to large receivers in what needs to be a high-scoring sport. See Week 4 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: Ravens overs are 3-0 this season. Unders are 13-4 in Payments highway video games since 2022. Read more.
Kahler’s decide: Payments 30, Ravens 28
Moody’s decide: Ravens 31, Payments 28
Walder’s decide: Payments 27, Ravens 20
FPI prediction: BUF, 56.7% (by a mean of two.3 factors)
Matchup must-reads: How Settlers of Catan has brought the Bills closer … How Henry found his place in Ravens offense vs. Cowboys … Bills’ defense is deep, despite injuries
Monday, 7:30 p.m. ET | ESPN | ESPN BET: MIA -1 (36.5 O/U)
Titans storyline to observe: The Titans’ offensive line has been a difficulty, particularly at proper sort out. Nicholas Petit-Frere, final week’s starter, was benched after a missed block led to a strip-sack of QB Will Levis. Jaelyn Duncan got here off the bench and gave up two sacks. Coach Brian Callahan stated each gamers might probably rotate through the sport. Whoever performs there’ll need assistance from the tight ends and operating backs towards Dolphins cross rushers Jaelan Phillips and Emmanuel Ogbah. — Turron Davenport
Dolphins storyline to observe: A Week 14 loss to the Titans final yr ended up being the distinction in Miami’s bid for an AFC East title, however the Dolphins haven’t got time to consider revenge. There’s an actual chance QB Tyler Huntley or Tim Boyle makes his first begin of the season if Skylar Thompson (ribs) isn’t cleared. Coach Mike McDaniel stated he is open to adjustments both manner, contemplating the Dolphins scored three factors final week. — Marcel Louis-Jacques
Stat to know: Dolphins large receiver Tyreek Hill‘s 40 receiving yards in Week 3 marked the third time in his profession that he has been held underneath 50 receiving yards in back-to-back video games.
Daring prediction: The Dolphins can have a designed run fee of 70% or increased. Whether or not it is Thompson, Boyle or Huntley, Miami might be going to want to alter its offense considerably. It could make sense to lean on De’Von Achane with a run-heavy sport plan. — Walder
Fantasy X issue: Titans operating again Tony Pollard. The Dolphins’ protection provides up the third-most fantasy factors to operating backs. It is a weak point the Titans ought to exploit, particularly with Levis struggling. Pollard has 18 or extra touches and 15 or extra fantasy factors in two of three video games this season. He additionally has averaged 15.2 fantasy factors in video games the place he has had 15 or extra touches. See Week 4 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: Each groups are 0-3 ATS this season. Unders are 3-0 in Dolphins video games. Read more.
Kahler’s decide: Titans 20, Dolphins 13
Moody’s decide: Dolphins 21, Titans 13
Walder’s decide: Titans 19, Dolphins 16
FPI prediction: TEN, 56.4% (by a mean of two.3 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Callahan backs struggling Levis as Titans’ QB … When will Tua return and what’s next for the Dolphins at QB? … CB Awuzie ‘definitely’ a possibility for IR
0:59
Schefter lays out QB choices for Dolphins to ‘save their season’
Adam Schefter joins “The Pat McAfee Present” and supplies some potential quarterback choices the Dolphins can discover in Tua Tagovailoa’s absence.
Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET | ABC/ESPN+ | ESPN BET: DET -3.5 (45.5 O/U)
Seahawks storyline to observe: The Seahawks have allowed the fourth-fewest factors (14.3) and the second-fewest yards (746) by means of three weeks. The apparent caveat is that they’ve confronted a good schedule, beating the Broncos in Bo Nix’s NFL debut, Jacoby Brissett and a restricted group of Patriots pass-catchers in addition to the Dolphins with out Tua Tagovailoa. They will get their first actual check towards Jared Goff and all of the Lions’ offensive threats in Detroit. — Brady Henderson
Lions storyline to observe: It is no secret that the Seahawks have had the higher hand as of late, successful 5 straight video games towards Detroit and eight of their previous 9. Dan Campbell has been on the shedding finish of the previous three contests versus Seattle, and he is seeking to snap the shedding streak on the MNF stage with a 5-2 prime-time report as a head coach. “I’d be mendacity although if I advised you that I do not know we have misplaced to them three years in a row,” he stated. “I do know that. So, you get bored with that after one loss, a lot much less three.” — Eric Woodyard
Stat to know: Lions operating again David Montgomery has now scored a speeding landing in six straight video games (ties longest streak of his profession); that’s tied for the second-longest streak in Lions historical past.
Daring prediction: Seahawks cornerback Riq Woolen will decide off Goff. Woolen is off to a scorching begin in 2024, with the bottom yards per protection snap (0.3) amongst exterior corners with not less than 75 protection snaps. Granted, that is absolutely influenced by the offenses Seattle has confronted (Denver, New England and Tagovailoa-less Miami), however we additionally know Woolen has a knack for grabbing interceptions (9 in his profession). — Walder
Fantasy X issue: Seahawks large receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba. He had a quiet Week 3 towards the Dolphins after going off in Week 2 with 16 targets and 23.7 fantasy factors versus the Patriots. Smith-Njigba has run over 70% of his routes from the slot, positioning him nicely towards a Lions protection that has struggled to comprise slot receivers. This matchup additionally has one of many highest level totals on the slate. See Week 4 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Lions are 37-17 ATS underneath Campbell, the most effective report of any crew since 2021. Read more.
Kahler’s decide: Lions 27, Seahawks 21
Moody’s decide: Lions 30, Seahawks 21
Walder’s decide: Lions 31, Seahawks 22
FPI prediction: DET, 61.9% (by a mean of 4.6 factors)
Matchup must-reads: How Macdonald is guiding the Seahawks post-Carroll … Lions’ Dan Campbell doxxed by daughter’s classmate
