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NFL odds, Vegas traces, picks, spreads, recreation predictions: Mannequin eyes Payments, Chargers in Week 1, 2024

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September 5, 2024

You will discover loads of stats to help your Week 1 NFL predictions, and there is a distinctive one in favor of Miami because it hosts the Jaguars on Sunday. The CBS broadcasting crew of Kevin Harlan, Trent Inexperienced and Melanie Collins will name the sport, and the Dolphins are 7-0 since 2022 with that trio on the decision. Whether or not that influences your Week 1 NFL picks for this recreation is as much as you, however the Dolphins are three-point favorites within the NFL odds as they’re going to host their fellow Floridians for simply the fourth time in franchise historical past.

The opposite group within the Sunshine State, the Buccaneers, will host Washington on Sunday as three-point favorites within the NFL spreads. There isn’t any broadcasting report with this recreation, however Tampa is 7-3 at residence over its final 10 in opposition to the Commanders. Not less than one Florida group will win this weekend, however which of them ought to get behind together with your Week 1 NFL picks? The entire Week 1 NFL lines are listed beneath, and SportsLine’s advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and NFL predictions you need to make the best Week 1 NFL picks now.

The mannequin, which simulates each NFL recreation 10,000 instances, is up nicely over $7,000 for $100 gamers on A-rated NFL picks since its inception. The mannequin enters Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season on an unimaginable 185-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates again to the 2017 season. It’s also on a 39-21 roll on A-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of the 2022 NFL season.

The mannequin additionally ranked within the high 10 on NFLPickWatch 4 of the previous six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat greater than 94% of CBS Sports activities Soccer Choose’em gamers 4 instances throughout that span. Anybody who has adopted it’s means up.

Now, it has turned its consideration to the newest Week 1 NFL odds and NFL betting traces on the spread, money line, and over-under, and locked in picks for each NFL matchup. Head here to see every pick.

Prime Week 1 NFL predictions

We will let you know one of many mannequin’s strongest Week 1 NFL picks is that the Chargers (-3) cowl the unfold at residence versus the Raiders. Jim Harbaugh will turn out to be the primary particular person to ever coach an NFL recreation the season after successful a university nationwide championship, and historical past signifies he’ll begin the 2024 NFL season similarly to how he ended the 2023 school season. Harbaugh is 4-0 all-time in NFL season openers. All 4 video games have been received by greater than 3.5 factors as the typical margin of victory over these contests is 10.3 factors.

Moreover, Harbaugh’s groups have zero turnovers in these Week 1 contests, whereas the Raiders have misplaced six straight video games by which their protection did not power a turnover. Aside from Harbaugh, Los Angeles has its personal little bit of Week 1 success because it has received 4 straight Week 1 matchups in opposition to the Raiders, a stretch which dates again to 2006. Add in that the Chargers are 4-1 general over their final 5 season openers, and the mannequin has L.A. (-3.5) protecting over 60% of the time. See which other teams to pick here.

One other one in all its Week 1 NFL predictions: the Bills (-6.5) cowl at residence versus the Cardinals. Because the begin of the 2022 season, the Cardinals personal the worst report within the NFL (8-26), whereas the Payments’ 24 victories over that span are one shy of probably the most wins. Josh Allen has a 39-9 report since 2020 when he has one or fewer turnovers, and taking the ball away is not one thing Arizona focuses on. Simply 4 groups had fewer takeaways than the Cardinals’ 17 in 2023.

One other factor Arizona would not concentrate on is stopping the run, because it was second-worst in that regard a 12 months in the past. Payments’ OC Joe Brady emphasised the bottom recreation when he took over halfway via 2023. That additionally coincided with Buffalo closing out the season by successful six of its final seven regular-season video games because the combo of RB James Cook dinner and Allen needs to be an excessive amount of for the Playing cards to deal with. The mannequin tasks these two to mix for over 130 speeding yards, because the Payments (-6) cowl in nearly 70% of simulations. See which other teams to pick here.

How one can make Week 1 NFL picks

The mannequin has additionally made the decision on who wins and covers in each different recreation on the Week 1 NFL schedule and simply revealed 4 groups that win outright over 70% of the time. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.

So what NFL picks are you able to make with confidence, and which 4 favorites do you have to lock in now? Try the newest NFL odds beneath, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned well over $7,000, and discover out.

Week 1 NFL betting odds, traces, spreads

Get Week 1 NFL picks at SportsLine

Thursday, Sept. 5

Ravens at Chiefs (-3, 46.5)

Friday, Sept. 6

Packers vs. Eagles (-2.5, 48.5) — in Brazil

Sunday, Sept. 8

Steelers at Falcons (-3.5, 42)

Cardinals at Payments (-6.5, 48)

Titans at Bears (-4, 45)

Patriots at Bengals (-7.5, 40.5)

Texans at Colts (+2.5, 48.5)

Jaguars at Dolphins (-3.5, 49)

Panthers at Saints (-4, 41.5)

Vikings at Giants (+1.5, 41)

Raiders at Chargers (-3, 40.5)

Broncos at Seahawks (-6, 42)

Cowboys at Browns (-2.5, 41)

Commanders at Buccaneers (-3, 43.5)

Rams at Lions (-3.5, 51)

Monday, Sept. 9

Jets at 49ers (-4, 44)

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